NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7905f154ffb81667a73815d7596adc5174463170c79953d89c5e324abb89eb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Under | 53c | 22,704$12,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,670.97 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8e…f0ecbacked Over | 48c | 13,608$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under | 52c | 10,058$5,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,827.83 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3748…85d4backed Over | 47c | 6,449$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 4,643$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.77 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 52c | 4,620$2,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.59 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 47c | 3,977$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Over | 47c | 3,472$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 44c | 2,792$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.65 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 47c | 2,759$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.94 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Over | 48c | 2,434$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 2,305$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.71 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 1,778$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.04 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 48c | 1,535$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.29 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 1,521$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.26 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 52c | 1,515$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.8 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 51c | 1,100$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 54c | 1,052$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.06 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 56c | 956$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.36 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Over | 48c | 839.58$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Over | 50c | 644.92$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.08 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 50c | 596$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 399$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.47 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 56c | 307$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.92 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.67 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 19c | 291.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Under | 54c | 291.19$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.95 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Over | 51c | 281.63$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.63 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 49c | 258$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.04 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4c…9f84backed Under | 51c | 254.71$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.86 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 44cpaid | -72%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 32.9%80 W · 163 L | -22.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 47c | 197$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.59 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…d081backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Over | 20c | 149.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 51c | 123$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 121.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 50c | 99.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 52c | 87.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 54c | 71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 54c | 70.64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under | 51c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Under | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 51c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 49c | 47.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Over | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0f…84b9backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa49…6330backed Over | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked Over | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Over | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 48c | 30.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Over | 46c | 29.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Over | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Under | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…4d4cbacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Over | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Over | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa956…b8b8backed Under | 52c | 25.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 45c | 24.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Over | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Over | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 224.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-0.5)Lakers won
- Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Raptors vs. LakersLakers won
- Raptors vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Raptors vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.