NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8133e4450fbd53c8c4ee81571d0a5c3a19d3efcbc8a4e111039fb7c23a6763d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 51c | 15,959$8,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,108 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 10,429$5,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,293.18 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 51c | 8,998$4,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,589.12 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 5,948$2,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,208.01 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 54c | 5,555$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.7 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 50c | 4,551$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,296.75 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 3,525$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.48 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb252…56febacked Over | 65c | 3,053$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.77 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Over | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 43c | 2,721$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.06 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 51c | 2,625$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.07 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 2,295$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.82 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 2,084$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 49c | 1,273$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.02 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 49c | 1,243$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.86 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 774.11$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.8 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 58c | 553$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.02 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…56e7backed Under | 49c | 418.37$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.37 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 413.26$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 55c | 317.1$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.39 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Under | 24c | 267.3$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.15 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 47c | 242.57$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.22 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 44c | 235$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 40c | 227.29$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.49 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 49c | 224.49$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.49 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 183.68$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.51 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Over | 63c | 136.16$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 48c | 123.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 50c | 121.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 50c | 99.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Over | 54c | 99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Over | 43c | 94.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…5881backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 38c | 71.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 37c | 57.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 52c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +10.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 31c | 53.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked Under | 48c | 49.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Over | 54c | 46.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Over | 58c | 46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 55c | 44.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b2…7025backed Over | 68c | 44.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Over | 52c | 43.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Over | 52c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea3…ab73backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…6fd5backed Over | 58c | 34.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 47c | 34.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked Over | 57c | 29.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 49c | 29.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -18.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Under | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Under | 46c | 25.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 251 | 44.2%111 W · 140 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 64c | 24.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4892…27bcbacked Over | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Over | 47c | 24.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Under | 46c | 24.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -12.0wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Over | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 49c | 23.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Under | 49c | 22.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed Under | 49c | 20.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-0.5)Lakers won
- Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Raptors vs. LakersLakers won
- Raptors vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Raptors vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.