NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Jets: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x058b23039f2199e46b7d8ed0393a09dbf64a2402197fb77e07a1835c7f6383ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 2,467$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.4 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 53c | 1,690$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.29 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 54c | 1,002$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.1 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 981.1$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.3 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Under | 43c | 631$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.36 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Over | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 33c | 513.67$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.97 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 47c | 444$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.68 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Over | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 393$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.64 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 49c | 392$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.08 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Over | 53c | 337.92$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.82 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Over | 53c | 253.45$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.12 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Under | 45c | 220.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 65c | 184.72$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.94 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 69c | 162.94$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 75c | 109.44$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3863…ae6abacked Over | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 48c | 101$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 52c | 97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…1eedbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…893bbacked Under | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0be2backed Over | 53c | 84.49$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.71 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Over | 53c | 84.49$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.71 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 50c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Under | 67c | 71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Under | 49c | 69.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7654backed Over | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 61.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 67c | 52.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 39c | 49.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 128 | 26.6%34 W · 94 L | -12.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 47c | 44.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 43.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…4abfbacked Over | 52c | 42.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Under | 49c | 40.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5876…793fbacked Under | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed1…efcbbacked Under | 59c | 32.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 53c | 31.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Over | 67c | 31.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 62c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 47c | 26.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Under | 50c | 26.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5b…eea5backed Over | 52c | 25.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…7077backed Over | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 22.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 51c | 22.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Over | 51c | 21.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Devils vs. Jets: O/U 5.5this page
- Devils vs. JetsJets won
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.