TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,465
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,519

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,465 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x417d…292abacked Under43c5,788$2,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.16450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8030…74d5backed Under43c5,347$2,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,047.79450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf38a…90fbbacked Under43c4,627$1,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,637.39450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8abb…b9f6backed Under43c4,621$1,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,633.97425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9619…ce1fbacked Under43c4,421$1,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,519.97560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5b9…3ceabacked Under43c4,363$1,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,486.91450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over56c4,180$2,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,350.883,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5a…397ebacked Under43c4,121$1,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,348.97450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0227…07d5backed Under43c4,077$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,323.89560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8586…d3ddbacked Under43c4,030$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,297.1560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0262…6006backed Over57c3,880$2,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,211.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a26…e2a6backed Under43c3,765$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,146.05450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd05…7765backed Under43c3,688$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,102.16650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f5…607dbacked Over57c3,621$2,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,063.97425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe055…f898backed Over57c3,575$2,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,037.75520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe95d…1161backed Under43c3,562$1,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.34425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x192f…56e1backed Over57c3,258$1,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,857.0640%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4296…d759backed Over57c3,157$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.49425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c43…5659backed Over57c3,057$1,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,742.49520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-59.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1c4…a5cebacked Over57c2,978$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,697.46425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f22…408dbacked Over57c2,832$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,614.24425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick52cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd132…1471backed Over57c2,725$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.25560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ed…d429backed Over57c2,605$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.85425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under44c2,449$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.392,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedea…610cbacked Over57c2,337$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.09540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca5…f27abacked Under43c2,218$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.26475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+60.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd118…e016backed Over57c2,218$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.2640%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x46c6…9ea5backed Over57c2,143$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.51425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4565…5181backed Over57c1,654$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0891…1847backed Over57c1,654$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.78560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee6…e538backed Over57c1,577$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.89520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f8c…62b4backed Over57c1,521$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.97425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd129…43ebbacked Over57c1,433$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.81580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+61.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c1,130$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.278,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d24…8dc8backed Over57c1,127$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.39560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9309…a749backed Over57c1,022$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.54425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91fa…df95backed Over57c1,022$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.54450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0919…fcbcbacked Over1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016343.6%71 W · 92 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf838…c2f5backed Over57c736$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.52425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under43c732.85$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.343,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a7…9289backed Over57c719.72$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.2440%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d6c…8e1cbacked Over57c627$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.39540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf53…03ebbacked Over57c624$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.6840%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd68…e0a3backed Over57c524$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.68450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e62…975ebacked Over57c501$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Over46c472.72$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.4535747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Under62c461$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.7650347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb3f…e8a6backed Over62c360.74$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.361471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2996…6e7dbacked Over57c358$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.06425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc47a…a475backed Over57c257$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.49560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf03…b78bbacked Over57c254$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.7840%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over59c220$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.833258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under12c199.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.661,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.828540%34 W · 51 L-16.2wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-35.4%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under43c173.72$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.189,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb4…3737backed Over57c152$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.64425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1053…9d36backed Over57c147$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.79540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc407…e77dbacked Over57c121$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9740%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over47c102.51$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.654,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99aa…1d61backed Over78c99.43$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd55c…d703backed Over58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010840.7%44 W · 64 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under41c84.9$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5266143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x584f…3403backed Over57c79$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0340%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc503…b82cbacked Over44c68.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.153354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc535…6047backed Over30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013834.1%47 W · 91 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under54c64.19$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5311443%49 W · 65 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over60c62.5$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.548352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8785…bc0ebacked Over57c62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over50c54.82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.441,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a38…7baabacked Over57c51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.07425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under37c49.73$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.15,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Over56c48.89$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3824363.8%155 W · 88 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9412…730ebacked Over63c47.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303250%16 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Under51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.611847.5%56 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under40c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.268940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x726b…c72bbacked Over61c38.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.418253.7%44 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Under40c37.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.516935.5%60 W · 109 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Under42c35.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7143647.9%209 W · 227 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Under51c33.92$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.624643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ed1…efcbbacked Under51c31.57$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.473262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cc0…a71bbacked Over51c27.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.86425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over61c21.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1952246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b2a…0367backed Over57c18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.26450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.