NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8002f95c9f3f4744507922e614d19a3a97571fae7f51fb458f091069a03f0a4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Knicks, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 58c | 11,955$6,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,933.37 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Mavericks | 41c | 10,140$4,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,982.6 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Knicks | 60c | 3,840$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,291.57 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mavericks | 45c | 3,207$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.01 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks | 59c | 2,754$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.77 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks | 57c | 2,175$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.73 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 47c | 2,110$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.57 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Knicks | 43c | 1,853$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Mavericks | 67c | 1,706$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.56 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Knicks | 58c | 1,433$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.82 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mavericks | 40c | 1,367$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.07 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Knicks | 52c | 1,232$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.63 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Mavericks | 49c | 1,200$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.44 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Knicks | 53c | 1,146$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.6 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Knicks | 44c | 868.63$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.2 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7147…9a01backed Mavericks | 40c | 864.95$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.11 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Knicks | 62c | 800$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Mavericks | 42c | 700$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6921…2345backed Knicks | 55c | 549.99$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.5 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -12.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Mavericks | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc568…ecb7backed Knicks | 60c | 401.67$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Knicks | 49c | 400$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.25 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Mavericks | 47c | 399.99$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Mavericks | 40c | 336.58$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.95 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mavericks | 53c | 280.19$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.59 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks | 60c | 266$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Mavericks | 47c | 257.89$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.68 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Knicks | 44c | 238.39$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.19 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Mavericks | 48c | 231.16$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.2 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Mavericks | 64c | 192.75$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Knicks | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Mavericks | 46c | 160.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Mavericks | 45c | 160$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Knicks | 35c | 159.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Mavericks | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Mavericks | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Knicks | 55c | 123.64$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Mavericks | 47c | 103.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…47bcbacked Knicks | 35c | 100.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Knicks | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Knicks | 52c | 99.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Mavericks | 41c | 99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Knicks | 58c | 98.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Mavericks | 48c | 95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Knicks | 54c | 92.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc708…4ebcbacked Knicks | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa6…3290backed Mavericks | 48c | 84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Knicks | 53c | 58.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…256ebacked Knicks | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Mavericks | 53c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Mavericks | 47c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d90…cf08backed Mavericks | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 199 | 40.7%81 W · 118 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Knicks | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mavericks | 55c | 38.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Knicks | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Knicks | 51c | 34.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Knicks | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Mavericks | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Mavericks | 48c | 31.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Mavericks | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Mavericks | 67c | 26.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea1…1408backed Knicks | 55c | 26.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mavericks | 42c | 24.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Knicks | 54c | 23.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)this page
- Mavericks vs. KnicksMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.