TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mavericksof Knicks, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,492
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,526

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,492 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Mavericks44c7,729$3,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,340.21,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Knicks51c7,000$3,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,561.2235547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Knicks50c6,542$3,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,277.240446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Mavericks53c6,000$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.9946145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Knicks57c5,003$2,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,851.442,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks44c4,167$1,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,329.934,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Mavericks67c3,064$2,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.7638046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Mavericks49c2,668$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.413,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Knicks47c2,520$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.4211753%62 W · 55 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Knicks53c2,396$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.831,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Mavericks51c1,970$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.421852.8%115 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Mavericks54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.851,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a09…3c83backed Mavericks45c1,694$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.134961.2%30 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Knicks56c1,689$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.092,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Knicks54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81034654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Mavericks45c1,472$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.791,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Knicks53c1,416$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75065339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Knicks33c1,363$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.83,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Knicks47c1,091$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51350954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Knicks56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006659.1%39 W · 27 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9985…9b14backed Mavericks47c718.46$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.588743.7%38 W · 49 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Mavericks45c571.17$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.1464139%250 W · 391 L+2.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Knicks47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2351,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe70d…dd35backed Knicks52c483.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011955.5%66 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks48c475.41$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.766,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf673…68ecbacked Knicks56c446.43$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Knicks54c426.81$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.4880653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Knicks47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks47c417.4$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.739,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48c0…0a70backed Knicks13c410$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5250%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x705d…3438backed Mavericks43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2287544%33 W · 42 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Mavericks47c393.5$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.1468940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Knicks57c330$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.116148.4%78 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Knicks11c303.98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4419135.6%68 W · 123 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Mavericks51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1215052.7%79 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Knicks47c276.51$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.961,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Mavericks45c244.44$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.4466046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks34c240.17$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.68,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f6…2e01backed Mavericks49c234.45$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9116749.1%82 W · 85 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Mavericks46c223$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.421,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Knicks47c221.3$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0114742.2%62 W · 85 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Mavericks48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3336649.5%181 W · 185 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Mavericks46c206.86$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.732,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Mavericks52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9695548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Mavericks50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10089050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2095…8521backed Knicks53c185.73$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.815244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Mavericks47c152.61$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.341,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Mavericks46c149.98$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9935444.6%158 W · 196 L+1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Knicks47c148.94$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7033442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Knicks56c110$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.637850.3%190 W · 188 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Mavericks43c106.19$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5362541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Mavericks48c103.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0171245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2efb…ef8dbacked Knicks59c100.93$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Mavericks50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Mavericks51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495848.3%28 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Mavericks52c94.44$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.333,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f7f…8c81backed Mavericks46c81.25$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2510551.4%54 W · 51 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe61f…258dbacked Mavericks59c80.34$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Mavericks63c79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1430454.9%167 W · 137 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Mavericks45c70$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.547948.6%233 W · 246 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Mavericks52c69.6$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4148451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3f3…9b44backed Mavericks44c69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.642365.2%15 W · 8 L+5.2wins+0.23per pick42cpaid+63.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6f0f…956fbacked Knicks54c68.52$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Mavericks45c65.39$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0419748.2%95 W · 102 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2686…b389backed Knicks37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Mavericks47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Knicks55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.549351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed Knicks56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257639.5%30 W · 46 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Mavericks50c40.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.051,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f28…1b16backed Mavericks50c39.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9411250%56 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Knicks50c39.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.531,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb34…a390backed Mavericks46c38.89$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216038.3%23 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe56e…0bb4backed Mavericks52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4624248.3%117 W · 125 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0f…84b9backed Mavericks52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.466464.1%41 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Mavericks46c37.77$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.422247.3%105 W · 117 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Knicks57c37.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.083,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Knicks39c36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0416745.5%76 W · 91 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Mavericks44c30.59$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0839736.3%144 W · 253 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6630…703cbacked Mavericks53c30.26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2211258.9%66 W · 46 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa785…acb6backed Mavericks53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.132455.9%181 W · 143 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe98b…d3bebacked Mavericks54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7811553%61 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Mavericks50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1087950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x128f…47afbacked Mavericks66c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.442254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.