NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bac123f19bad18b6b39686a52a6faa526bc560b7d32767578ebaa7dd2414e9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Under | 51c | 25,057$12,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,179.32 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Over | 49c | 5,882$2,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…d8b6backed Over | 53c | 5,736$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8785…bc0ebacked Under | 50c | 5,549$2,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,774.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb4…3737backed Over | 50c | 5,463$2,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,731.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9309…a749backed Over | 50c | 5,403$2,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,701.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc407…e77dbacked Over | 50c | 5,369$2,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,684.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…3403backed Over | 50c | 5,367$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,683.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a7…9289backed Over | 50c | 5,295$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,647.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca5…f27abacked Under | 51c | 5,279$2,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,612.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf53…03ebbacked Over | 50c | 5,237$2,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,618.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee6…e538backed Over | 50c | 5,184$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…62b4backed Over | 50c | 5,149$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf838…c2f5backed Under | 50c | 5,146$2,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1053…9d36backed Under | 50c | 5,126$2,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,563 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf03…b78bbacked Over | 50c | 5,042$2,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 4,053$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.32 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 49c | 3,812$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 35c | 3,518$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.07 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 52c | 3,172$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.42 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Under | 71c | 3,114$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.5 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…87cabacked Over | 50c | 3,010$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x720b…2d82backed Under | 50c | 3,003$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 52c | 2,851$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.84 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafdc…c2a2backed Over | 48c | 2,727$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…60e3backed Under | 50c | 2,621$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8082…4790backed Under | 50c | 2,614$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7650…5278backed Under | 50c | 2,601$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c7…7981backed Over | 50c | 2,588$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…294ebacked Under | 50c | 2,585$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4af0…f59abacked Over | 50c | 2,582$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0b…efe3backed Under | 50c | 2,579$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd118…e016backed Over | 50c | 2,574$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…ae8dbacked Over | 50c | 2,569$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9685…634fbacked Under | 50c | 2,568$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…a5f2backed Over | 50c | 2,568$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f0…082cbacked Over | 50c | 2,560$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94e…2818backed Over | 50c | 2,547$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee3d…ea29backed Over | 50c | 2,543$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c78…9cb6backed Under | 50c | 2,542$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…8e50backed Over | 50c | 2,541$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…2ba2backed Under | 50c | 2,536$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…e7d2backed Over | 50c | 2,534$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ce…c893backed Under | 50c | 2,533$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…67eabacked Under | 50c | 2,457$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 2,284$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.77 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 48c | 2,151$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.46 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Over | 48c | 2,142$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.04 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d5…ce08backed Over | 50c | 2,063$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ecb…a828backed Under | 50c | 2,063$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…acb5backed Over | 50c | 2,055$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…6002backed Under | 50c | 2,052$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a46…1b9dbacked Over | 50c | 2,045$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…c156backed Over | 50c | 2,045$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa452…2b1ebacked Under | 50c | 2,041$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd896…3740backed Under | 50c | 2,036$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +60%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…3cc6backed Over | 50c | 2,023$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…6314backed Under | 50c | 2,022$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c4…a5cebacked Under | 50c | 1,992$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x192f…56e1backed Over | 50c | 1,985$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46c6…9ea5backed Under | 50c | 1,984$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 1,958$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.4 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc47a…a475backed Under | 50c | 1,958$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Under | 51c | 1,952$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.57 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd05…7765backed Over | 50c | 1,950$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d24…8dc8backed Under | 50c | 1,947$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…408dbacked Under | 50c | 1,936$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedea…610cbacked Under | 50c | 1,931$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd132…1471backed Under | 50c | 1,923$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 1,902$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.56 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ed…d429backed Under | 50c | 1,895$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…7baabacked Over | 50c | 1,873$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f5…607dbacked Under | 50c | 1,870$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2a…0367backed Under | 50c | 1,851$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…5659backed Over | 50c | 1,849$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…3ceabacked Under | 50c | 1,823$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4565…5181backed Under | 50c | 1,817$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fa…df95backed Under | 50c | 1,806$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0227…07d5backed Under | 50c | 1,792$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe95d…1161backed Over | 50c | 1,775$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…1847backed Under | 50c | 1,745$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38a…90fbbacked Under | 50c | 1,734$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…f898backed Over | 50c | 1,726$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0262…6006backed Under | 50c | 1,724$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Over | 48c | 1,675$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…74d5backed Under | 50c | 1,664$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4296…d759backed Under | 50c | 1,658$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8586…d3ddbacked Under | 50c | 1,635$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…e2a6backed Under | 50c | 1,629$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6c…8e1cbacked Over | 50c | 1,624$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf221…9c09backed Over | 50c | 1,623$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd129…43ebbacked Under | 50c | 1,589$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…397ebacked Under | 50c | 1,571$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd68…e0a3backed Under | 50c | 1,567$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8abb…b9f6backed Over | 50c | 1,537$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e62…975ebacked Under | 50c | 1,520$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9619…ce1fbacked Under | 50c | 1,508$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5this page
- Mavericks vs. KnicksMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.