TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,135
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,531

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,135 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over57c6,072$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,449.5848352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d24…8dc8backed Under48c5,547$2,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,884.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc47a…a475backed Under48c5,527$2,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,874.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2996…6e7dbacked Under48c5,504$2,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,862.08425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b2a…0367backed Under48c5,399$2,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,807.48450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd68…e0a3backed Under48c5,391$2,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,803.32450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d6c…8e1cbacked Under48c5,323$2,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,767.96540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd129…43ebbacked Under48c5,276$2,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,743.52580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+61.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x91fa…df95backed Under48c5,269$2,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,739.88450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a38…7baabacked Under48c5,260$2,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,735.2425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4565…5181backed Under48c5,247$2,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,728.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e62…975ebacked Under48c5,225$2,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,717366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0891…1847backed Under48c5,118$2,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,661.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b5…0033backed Under48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,600560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b7b…81b0backed Over52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under43c3,116$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,774.89,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74a8…e862backed Over52c2,650$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x079b…ed8cbacked Under48c2,245$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4296…d759backed Over52c2,205$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8586…d3ddbacked Over52c2,142$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.84560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe055…f898backed Over52c2,083$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.16520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0262…6006backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9a7…9289backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04040%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe95d…1161backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9ed…d429backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x192f…56e1backed Over52c1,991$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.3240%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8030…74d5backed Over52c1,969$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.88450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a26…e2a6backed Over52c1,968$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.36450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f5…607dbacked Over52c1,920$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf5a…397ebacked Over52c1,904$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.08450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9619…ce1fbacked Over52c1,886$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c1,855$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.532,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5b9…3ceabacked Over52c1,842$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.84450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under40c1,841$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.2183039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0227…07d5backed Over52c1,837$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1053…9d36backed Over52c1,824$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.48540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd132…1471backed Over52c1,789$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.28560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xedea…610cbacked Over52c1,784$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.68540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc407…e77dbacked Over52c1,768$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.3640%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd05…7765backed Over52c1,765$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.8650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf53…03ebbacked Over52c1,713$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.7640%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf838…c2f5backed Over52c1,694$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.88425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf03…b78bbacked Over52c1,690$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.840%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c43…5659backed Over52c1,680$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.6520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-59.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f8c…62b4backed Over52c1,679$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.08425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ca5…f27abacked Under47c1,658$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.74475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+60.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd118…e016backed Over53c1,658$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.7440%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9309…a749backed Over52c1,642$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.84425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8abb…b9f6backed Over52c1,638$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.76425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over52c1,634$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.013,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1c4…a5cebacked Over52c1,597$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.44425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x417d…292abacked Over52c1,557$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.64450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f22…408dbacked Over52c1,554$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.08425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick52cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf38a…90fbbacked Over52c1,546$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.92450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ee6…e538backed Over52c1,523$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.96520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46c6…9ea5backed Over52c1,519$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.88425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x584f…3403backed Over52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78040%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcdb4…3737backed Over52c1,465$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.8425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8785…bc0ebacked Over52c1,412$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd622…8b56backed Under45c1,331$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.128339.8%33 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under46c1,042$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.532,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under44c958.98$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.036,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over53c946$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.942,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under38c786.63$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.273,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over70c695.65$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.5433258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under16c534.24$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.852,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c422.3$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.218,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb252…56febacked Over60c306.67$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1842254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under45c228$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.1368940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over9c182.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3819135.6%68 W · 123 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Over56c178.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008256.1%46 W · 36 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed Over52c144.4$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.355650%28 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under40c142.63$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.323,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Under66c128.79$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7933554.6%183 W · 152 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under43c126.47$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.093,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x726b…c72bbacked Over57c123.91$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.218253.7%44 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Under44c113.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1324846.8%116 W · 132 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under48c109.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1924946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x040b…f8a0backed Over58c99.05$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.152356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over57c88.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x284e…ddb2backed Over67c68.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.324628.3%13 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under37c61.88$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.883,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under42c61.08$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.432,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbee…17c4backed Under27c58.44$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.44580%4 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.45per pick35cpaid+281.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under52c57.64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.651,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Over63c55.25$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7719232.8%63 W · 129 L-18.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-35.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over54c54.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.961,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73ec…9659backed Over71c54.61$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.722055%11 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7511650.9%59 W · 57 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fe8…e59ebacked Under58c46.27$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.272944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under46c45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.32,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Over51c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9554351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over57c43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5139449.2%194 W · 200 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Over46c40.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.635747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over42c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.717243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f3…39ccbacked Under53c33.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.962060%12 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under31c33.27$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.942,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed Under46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.224645.9%113 W · 133 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Over72c28.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2536247.2%171 W · 191 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over44c28.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.375,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.