CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs KOLESIE (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6e555683c14e4496c31b53822c2c6fc9581b3bcb98e6a27687176c874650d5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, KOLESIE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4422…96f4backed BetBoom Team | 72c | 5,924$4,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.19 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked KOLESIE | 26c | 4,233$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.91 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed BetBoom Team | 67c | 3,993$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.53 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked KOLESIE | 31c | 2,670$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.08 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed BetBoom Team | 69c | 2,400$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744 | 853 | 58.3%497 W · 356 L | +60.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed BetBoom Team | 53c | 1,980$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.57 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed KOLESIE | 33c | 1,832$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.5 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…1ae2backed KOLESIE | 2c | 1,280$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked KOLESIE | 39c | 1,088$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.07 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked KOLESIE | 33c | 936.36$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…eb8ebacked KOLESIE | 33c | 569.33$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.04 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked KOLESIE | 35c | 508.67$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.03 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed KOLESIE | 56c | 417.3$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.7 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed BetBoom Team | 59c | 410.97$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.47 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed KOLESIE | 56c | 369.91$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.9 | 419 | 60.9%255 W · 164 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed KOLESIE | 39c | 237.09$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7a…7181backed KOLESIE | 45c | 221.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked KOLESIE | 53c | 219.5$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.61 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed BetBoom Team | 45c | 219.04$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.47 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…40adbacked KOLESIE | 31c | 215.83$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.91 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed KOLESIE | 33c | 212.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 385 | 52.2%201 W · 184 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked KOLESIE | 48c | 208.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22c5…1bdabacked KOLESIE | 20c | 179.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked KOLESIE | 40c | 163.01$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.73 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -9.7wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked KOLESIE | 26c | 163$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7485…d9f3backed KOLESIE | 52c | 153.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed BetBoom Team | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 476 | 65.1%310 W · 166 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked KOLESIE | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed1…efcbbacked BetBoom Team | 68c | 147.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked BetBoom Team | 39c | 132$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.52 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…053abacked BetBoom Team | 73c | 129.11$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc67…b5ddbacked BetBoom Team | 64c | 119.82$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…432cbacked KOLESIE | 40c | 119.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked KOLESIE | 45c | 111.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…3fc9backed KOLESIE | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed BetBoom Team | 45c | 104.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.36 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…50c6backed KOLESIE | 25c | 100.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed KOLESIE | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d24…6564backed BetBoom Team | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed KOLESIE | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 873 | 51.2%447 W · 426 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed KOLESIE | 22c | 95.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed KOLESIE | 40c | 93.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…4ad0backed KOLESIE | 54c | 92.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa100…60e1backed KOLESIE | 36c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 137 | 37.2%51 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba3…56aebacked BetBoom Team | 80c | 86.25$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe61…4c28backed BetBoom Team | 72c | 83.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4f…bdc8backed KOLESIE | 42c | 82.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed BetBoom Team | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x102d…ff61backed BetBoom Team | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed BetBoom Team | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ca…6725backed KOLESIE | 55c | 73.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe63…2de4backed BetBoom Team | 61c | 73.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked KOLESIE | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed KOLESIE | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked BetBoom Team | 39c | 65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11fd…a851backed KOLESIE | 45c | 63.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 38 | 0%0 W · 38 L | -11.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked BetBoom Team | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e3…84bfbacked KOLESIE | 25c | 59.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa864…e47bbacked BetBoom Team | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed KOLESIE | 61c | 58.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed KOLESIE | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed KOLESIE | 52c | 51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c6…4a55backed KOLESIE | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…3d80backed BetBoom Team | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43f…7f7abacked KOLESIE | 47c | 47.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed KOLESIE | 36c | 44.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked BetBoom Team | 44c | 42.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed KOLESIE | 47c | 41.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed BetBoom Team | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 152 | 41.4%63 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed KOLESIE | 38c | 36.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x818e…b787backed KOLESIE | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked BetBoom Team | 70c | 35.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked BetBoom Team | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc9…c0f6backed BetBoom Team | 75c | 32.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b0…482cbacked KOLESIE | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30c9…2b69backed BetBoom Team | 71c | 28.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81c…0a81backed BetBoom Team | 74c | 24.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed BetBoom Team | 64c | 15.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…e21abacked BetBoom Team | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs KOLESIE (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs KOLESIE - Map 1 WinnerKOLESIE won
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs KOLESIE - Map 2 WinnerBetBoom Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.