NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Utah: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa50bd9ce6bea61cc36f207df50fb42a3b98ba2d3edff494a09f4e7c11ac1e9f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 49c | 7,282$3,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,714.02 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 5,255$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,677.5 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc635…4b6abacked Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb7…43eabacked Over | 53c | 4,935$2,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 51c | 2,600$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.99 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Under | 50c | 2,200$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.4 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Over | 49c | 2,084$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.62 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 51c | 1,880$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.05 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 1,322$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.19 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 50c | 1,001$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.86 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 949.42$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.34 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 47c | 683$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.99 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 607.75$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.8 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 53c | 590$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.7 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 56c | 562.76$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.14 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Over | 50c | 556.7$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.35 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 5c | 526$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 10cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 54c | 500$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.66 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 51c | 225$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.75 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 34c | 191.74$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.08 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 46c | 152.58$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.19 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 51c | 123$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Under | 60c | 95.09$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 231 | 58%134 W · 97 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3863…ae6abacked Under | 49c | 71.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeba…d2d8backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…8fd6backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 177 | 54.2%96 W · 81 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 49c | 48.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 28c | 48.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 66c | 43.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed1…efcbbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 51c | 31.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 129 | 43.4%56 W · 73 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 51c | 29.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d1…0c7bbacked Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 48c | 24.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blues vs. Utah: O/U 5.5this page
- Blues vs. UtahUtah won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Utah won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.