CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6d544024ed0b1de9e0cd6c0327a7c18a872e5875f40ceafb61937bccd43f248
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acendof Acend, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Bebop | 58c | 1,655$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.5 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Acend | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Acend | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Acend | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Acend | 46c | 324.07$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed1…efcbbacked Bebop | 75c | 266.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.14 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…3332backed Bebop | 35c | 249.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.47 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Bebop | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12a1…4e4dbacked Acend | 78c | 204.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed Acend | 77c | 201.15$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Acend | 70c | 199.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Acend | 40c | 125.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.3 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43c8…0551backed Acend | 49c | 118.35$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.29 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Bebop | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…d865backed Acend | 50c | 89.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…c8ddbacked Bebop | 64c | 82.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed Acend | 65c | 80.27$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a11…de7cbacked Acend | 75c | 53.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa368…d391backed Acend | 65c | 51.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa100…60e1backed Acend | 73c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 137 | 37.2%51 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…e21abacked Bebop | 29c | 41.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Acend | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Bebop | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Acend | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…078fbacked Acend | 60c | 29.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Bebop | 67c | 18.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.