Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x489c3a85c54ae6a7b861635a2f1e0eff1e56b35f1b9f13c360c7ad3c3f026077
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Team Spirit, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac0d…b006backed MOUZ | 45c | 27,569$12,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,115.64 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Team Spirit | 60c | 25,466$15,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,405.59 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Team Spirit | 48c | 16,811$8,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,005.75 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Team Spirit | 39c | 15,352$5,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,987.26 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Spirit | 2c | 12,805$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.17 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 51c | 7,966$4,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,869.61 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed MOUZ | 38c | 6,695$2,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,151.39 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Spirit | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.99 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked MOUZ | 61c | 4,918$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.03 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 40c | 4,748$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,863.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed MOUZ | 42c | 4,550$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.09 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ | 47c | 4,527$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,393.57 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 51c | 4,482$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,197.56 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed MOUZ | 51c | 4,399$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.29 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Team Spirit | 58c | 4,312$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3342…f908backed Team Spirit | 62c | 4,305$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.89 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed MOUZ | 38c | 4,032$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.63 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb78f…3a77backed MOUZ | 38c | 3,670$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275.54 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed MOUZ | 67c | 3,380$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.66 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 3,195$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.28 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed MOUZ | 53c | 3,050$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.34 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked MOUZ | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed MOUZ | 42c | 2,500$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.09 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed MOUZ | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6a…6890backed Team Spirit | 54c | 2,388$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56e…453cbacked Team Spirit | 38c | 2,077$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.04 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed MOUZ | 48c | 2,000$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.53 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed MOUZ | 56c | 1,982$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.25 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed MOUZ | 54c | 1,963$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.15 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 1,802$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b5…e607backed Team Spirit | 58c | 1,735$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 1,654$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.5 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed MOUZ | 53c | 1,368$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.85 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…de6bbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 1,254$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.32 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dcf…75b9backed MOUZ | 80c | 1,253$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a9…c1d3backed Team Spirit | 76c | 1,116$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.11 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed MOUZ | 38c | 1,100$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.23 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 977.31$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.34 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed MOUZ | 53c | 846.67$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.67 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Team Spirit | 39c | 812.82$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x689d…300fbacked Team Spirit | 49c | 808.28$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fac…bdd8backed Team Spirit | 71c | 800$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed MOUZ | 57c | 775.01$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.01 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…4895backed Team Spirit | 40c | 743.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed MOUZ | 53c | 709.99$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.8 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked MOUZ | 63c | 699.98$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.79 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa49…6330backed Team Spirit | 57c | 693.74$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.58 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked MOUZ | 53c | 645.48$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.3 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Spirit | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Team Spirit | 56c | 600$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Team Spirit | 48c | 599.99$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0050…2eb8backed MOUZ | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Team Spirit | 55c | 541.64$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…4c6dbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 538.8$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.97 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 533.44$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.73 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8203…0187backed MOUZ | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…886abacked MOUZ | 45c | 468.83$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.59 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Team Spirit | 74c | 466.7$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.93 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…2795backed Team Spirit | 28c | 461.04$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33ae…433cbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 443.46$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Team Spirit | 60c | 416.65$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Team Spirit | 41c | 410.64$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.12 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed MOUZ | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed MOUZ | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…ade8backed MOUZ | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Spirit | 52c | 379.36$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.27 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Team Spirit | 25c | 355.71$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e9…37b6backed Team Spirit | 60c | 350$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Team Spirit | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Team Spirit | 59c | 340.49$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Team Spirit | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed Team Spirit | 43c | 322.01$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -78%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Team Spirit | 61c | 314.27$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed Team Spirit | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked MOUZ | 52c | 299.76$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.13 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed MOUZ | 50c | 290.64$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.32 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb6…ac56backed Team Spirit | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked MOUZ | 61c | 263.93$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.93 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb3…270cbacked Team Spirit | 34c | 263.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…b9c0backed MOUZ | 41c | 260$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.4 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc439…3aabbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 259.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed MOUZ | 37c | 253.04$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.5 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Team Spirit | 41c | 240$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 170 | 23.5%40 W · 130 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed MOUZ | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed Team Spirit | 60c | 220.25$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50a…0887backed Team Spirit | 39c | 204.51$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 202.44$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.62 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed MOUZ | 71c | 201.8$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Team Spirit | 58c | 200.55$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.32 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked MOUZ | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…55cebacked Team Spirit | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a5…a903backed MOUZ | 66c | 199.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…1df6backed Team Spirit | 27c | 195.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…27ffbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 195.16$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed Team Spirit | 55c | 192.73$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc0…5f47backed Team Spirit | 20c | 190$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3044…86f0backed Team Spirit | 43c | 184.23$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 43cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked MOUZ | 45c | 181.91$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.21 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked MOUZ | 42c | 178.92$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.39 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…3d14backed MOUZ | 40c | 177.25$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.35 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5)MOUZ won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.