Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa24ebba2b1a45aa98272c55c571141cb1885d8d43c9112fe8efeb991ee1f7013
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Team Spirit, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $217,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $257,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Team Spirit | 58c | 25,049$14,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,521.31 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Team Spirit | 60c | 20,657$12,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,424.19 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed MOUZ | 41c | 17,730$7,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,378.65 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed MOUZ | 42c | 12,577$5,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,294.64 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78f…3a77backed Team Spirit | 56c | 11,590$6,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,498.28 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 42c | 9,376$3,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,408.22 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed MOUZ | 44c | 9,058$3,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.46 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ | 25c | 7,680$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,726.69 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked Team Spirit | 60c | 7,039$4,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,252.05 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Spirit | 12c | 6,451$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.63 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked MOUZ | 42c | 5,103$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,972.05 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked Team Spirit | 3c | 5,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 41c | 4,856$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.16 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Team Spirit | 54c | 4,470$2,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.16 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed MOUZ | 40c | 4,200$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,537.83 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed MOUZ | 39c | 3,833$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.94 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed MOUZ | 39c | 3,448$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.41 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…7bc1backed MOUZ | 32c | 3,124$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,124.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Team Spirit | 42c | 3,073$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.36 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed MOUZ | 46c | 3,016$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.3 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 2,950$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.84 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed MOUZ | 50c | 2,629$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.02 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked MOUZ | 39c | 2,612$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.32 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 2,450$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3342…f908backed Team Spirit | 60c | 2,320$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Spirit | 57c | 2,007$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.73 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Team Spirit | 59c | 2,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 1,687$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed MOUZ | 39c | 1,678$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.5 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b5…e607backed MOUZ | 42c | 1,663$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.65 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc56e…453cbacked MOUZ | 19c | 1,590$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.74 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed MOUZ | 40c | 1,580$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 44c | 1,529$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.1 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6a…6890backed MOUZ | 40c | 1,302$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed MOUZ | 38c | 1,223$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.43 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…4c6dbacked MOUZ | 41c | 1,221$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.46 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2080…c38cbacked MOUZ | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Team Spirit | 50c | 1,150$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.54 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…abc9backed MOUZ | 35c | 1,140$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.99 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed MOUZ | 38c | 1,050$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.5 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed MOUZ | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed MOUZ | 46c | 982.55$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.97 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed MOUZ | 38c | 918.55$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.68 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed MOUZ | 50c | 881.09$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.09 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Team Spirit | 59c | 879.72$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.15 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fac…bdd8backed Team Spirit | 70c | 800$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked MOUZ | 34c | 745.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.55 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked MOUZ | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed MOUZ | 41c | 607.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.63 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Team Spirit | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.9 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4c…e430backed MOUZ | 44c | 573.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.68 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc439…3aabbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 555$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff3…c17fbacked MOUZ | 22c | 543.9$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.1 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +44%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0050…2eb8backed MOUZ | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked MOUZ | 40c | 494.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.51 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed MOUZ | 39c | 487.18$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.18 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee6f…3859backed MOUZ | 44c | 477.27$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.27 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Team Spirit | 44c | 462.94$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.5 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Team Spirit | 68c | 439.9$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Spirit | 56c | 430$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.8 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 400.26$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.16 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Spirit | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed MOUZ | 25c | 400$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked MOUZ | 26c | 399.65$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.1 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48a5…a903backed MOUZ | 41c | 350$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Team Spirit | 62c | 320.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Team Spirit | 58c | 319.16$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.11 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Team Spirit | 61c | 301.64$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.85 | 331 | 65.3%216 W · 115 L | +23.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked MOUZ | 74c | 300.28$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.67 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Team Spirit | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed Team Spirit | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e9…37b6backed Team Spirit | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed MOUZ | 44c | 284.09$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.09 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…45cebacked Team Spirit | 64c | 264.7$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.41 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked MOUZ | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed MOUZ | 38c | 262.46$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.66 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Spirit | 59c | 259.86$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.32 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Team Spirit | 23c | 252.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed MOUZ | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed Team Spirit | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -78%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2330…b0febacked Team Spirit | 42c | 240$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked MOUZ | 15c | 233.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.81 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Team Spirit | 56c | 227.54$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.3 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…c018backed MOUZ | 45c | 224.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.17 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50a…0887backed Team Spirit | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Spirit | 39c | 211$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.95 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa17…3aa2backed Team Spirit | 59c | 198.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.41 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed MOUZ | 39c | 197.86$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.45 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…2795backed Team Spirit | 63c | 190.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked MOUZ | 43c | 182.56$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.06 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33ae…433cbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 182.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed MOUZ | 41c | 177.56$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.76 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa49…6330backed Team Spirit | 58c | 172.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed Team Spirit | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9a…28cebacked Team Spirit | 78c | 159.45$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Team Spirit | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Team Spirit | 64c | 145.31$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked MOUZ | 42c | 144.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.02 | 907 | 56.1%509 W · 398 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb10…bdd3backed MOUZ | 37c | 140.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.54 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Team Spirit | 33c | 140$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5)MOUZ won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 3 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.