Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fb6c46c068015e13ad3e9ed97aa1f5db52b4910eb7447feea8138679db23d4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $273,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $337,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Team Spirit | 66c | 30,393$19,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,479.39 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Team Spirit | 65c | 29,466$19,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,431.95 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed MOUZ | 34c | 26,673$9,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,018.85 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed MOUZ | 6c | 16,701$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.84 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed MOUZ | 36c | 15,231$5,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,425.76 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Team Spirit | 65c | 14,668$9,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,121.97 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed MOUZ | 40c | 14,033$5,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,629.86 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked MOUZ | 37c | 8,108$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb78f…3a77backed Team Spirit | 55c | 7,080$3,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,155.94 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Spirit | 56c | 5,638$3,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.27 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 38c | 5,226$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.95 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ | 42c | 5,199$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.24 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked MOUZ | 33c | 4,985$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.21 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed MOUZ | 33c | 4,876$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.54 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed MOUZ | 42c | 4,726$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.42 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Team Spirit | 66c | 3,518$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.83 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked MOUZ | 55c | 3,142$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.91 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked MOUZ | 38c | 2,845$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.99 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed MOUZ | 37c | 2,656$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.74 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked MOUZ | 46c | 2,609$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a5…de1bbacked MOUZ | 39c | 2,011$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.11 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Spirit | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…4c6dbacked MOUZ | 33c | 1,782$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked MOUZ | 34c | 1,734$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.56 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit | 60c | 1,692$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.62 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4c…e430backed MOUZ | 40c | 1,683$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.59 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…9ea9backed MOUZ | 37c | 1,600$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed MOUZ | 33c | 1,500$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Spirit | 59c | 1,473$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.5 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed MOUZ | 16c | 1,461$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.83 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed MOUZ | 33c | 1,434$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.2 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed MOUZ | 41c | 1,255$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4d…815fbacked MOUZ | 33c | 1,209$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked MOUZ | 9c | 1,148$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.88 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed Team Spirit | 61c | 1,049$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3342…f908backed Team Spirit | 62c | 1,006$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.45 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed MOUZ | 21c | 860.07$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.5 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Team Spirit | 78c | 855.79$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.56 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed MOUZ | 41c | 831.71$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Team Spirit | 65c | 773.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.85 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 753.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.37 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Team Spirit | 63c | 700$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Spirit | 63c | 688.61$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.1 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked MOUZ | 28c | 661.22$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.24 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Team Spirit | 59c | 607.15$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.75 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed MOUZ | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Team Spirit | 67c | 523.67$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.81 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0050…2eb8backed Team Spirit | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked MOUZ | 41c | 490.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Team Spirit | 56c | 475$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…7bc1backed MOUZ | 41c | 461.63$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56e…453cbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 458.98$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.54 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6c…30c5backed Team Spirit | 55c | 440$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Team Spirit | 66c | 439.5$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.43 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Spirit | 63c | 438.5$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.25 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43ac…86d0backed MOUZ | 47c | 410$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.7 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fac…bdd8backed MOUZ | 23c | 400$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…f61dbacked Team Spirit | 72c | 395.04$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.58 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed MOUZ | 44c | 366.22$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed MOUZ | 29c | 365.38$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee6f…3859backed MOUZ | 33c | 363.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed MOUZ | 31c | 340$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…27ffbacked MOUZ | 42c | 333.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed MOUZ | 50c | 320.2$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Spirit | 64c | 314.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.63 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Team Spirit | 75c | 311.11$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.13 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked MOUZ | 35c | 304.84$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.13 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc439…3aabbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 304.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.82 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff3…c17fbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 300$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.24 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +44%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa17…3aa2backed Team Spirit | 51c | 300$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked MOUZ | 33c | 298.64$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.55 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed MOUZ | 34c | 295.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed MOUZ | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa49…6330backed MOUZ | 34c | 276.47$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed MOUZ | 40c | 275$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed MOUZ | 41c | 257.75$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked MOUZ | 11c | 250$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +64%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x158f…09f1backed Team Spirit | 62c | 240.82$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.82 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60e…3f04backed MOUZ | 33c | 238.85$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.82 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…2795backed Team Spirit | 64c | 234.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.53 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed MOUZ | 31c | 229.51$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.26 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48dc…fb0cbacked MOUZ | 22c | 210$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +59%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd50a…0887backed Team Spirit | 52c | 208.9$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.91 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…51edbacked Team Spirit | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed MOUZ | 34c | 203.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Team Spirit | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Team Spirit | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed MOUZ | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…5ad4backed MOUZ | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed MOUZ | 49c | 199.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 170 | 23.5%40 W · 130 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…1df6backed MOUZ | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x753e…6546backed MOUZ | 55c | 196.36$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Spirit | 67c | 183.67$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ | 40c | 163.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…a5bebacked MOUZ | 41c | 161.16$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Team Spirit | 63c | 158.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed MOUZ | 36c | 155.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Spirit | 65c | 153.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…b8ffbacked MOUZ | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3331…aef8backed MOUZ | 43c | 148.16$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5)MOUZ won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 3 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.