Lol · resolved market
LoL: Deer Gaming vs Bulldog Esports (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe661a4437ef10de5ee4619fa9286136259ce1264633855599f4ff713c0391ab4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bulldog Esportsof Deer Gaming, Bulldog Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Deer Gaming | 1c | 3,952$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01bf…3f0dbacked Deer Gaming | 32c | 1,421$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Bulldog Esports | 68c | 1,242$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.73 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3806…f4c4backed Deer Gaming | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 127 | 6.3%8 W · 119 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Deer Gaming | 40c | 549.47$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.87 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Bulldog Esports | 60c | 541$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.4 | 616 | 45.3%279 W · 337 L | +36.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Deer Gaming | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Bulldog Esports | 61c | 479.04$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.83 | 461 | 53.6%247 W · 214 L | -24.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Bulldog Esports | 55c | 224.87$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.19 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Deer Gaming | 23c | 204.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…a40abacked Bulldog Esports | 61c | 180.72$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.48 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Deer Gaming | 10c | 141.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Deer Gaming | 39c | 133.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Deer Gaming | 39c | 108.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Deer Gaming | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c6…72a8backed Deer Gaming | 65c | 91.39$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x618d…68e2backed Bulldog Esports | 60c | 82.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe285…06cbbacked Deer Gaming | 48c | 72.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Bulldog Esports | 61c | 68.92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…4574backed Deer Gaming | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Deer Gaming | 55c | 22.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bulldog Esports | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.