TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Execration (BO1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Tideboundof Team Tidebound, Execration
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,767
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,447

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,767 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x97e1…017bbacked Execration22c5,324$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.3934146.6%159 W · 182 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Execration1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3080443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Team Tidebound79c2,853$2,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.0534468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed Execration30c2,822$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.3217950.3%90 W · 89 L+14.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed Execration47c2,693$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.9819047.9%91 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Execration38c2,600$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.884438.6%17 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe612…abc9backed Execration40c2,479$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.026237.1%23 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed Execration41c2,462$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.225558.2%32 W · 23 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8e42…3559backed Team Tidebound63c2,035$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.71650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Team Tidebound58c2,001$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.332839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Team Tidebound69c1,509$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.0112050.8%61 W · 59 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3dc…889bbacked Execration41c1,485$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.8540%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Team Tidebound70c1,437$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4378245.1%37 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Execration33c1,425$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.541,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d6d…1ba1backed Execration43c1,387$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Tidebound76c1,103$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.9116665.7%109 W · 57 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Tidebound63c1,086$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.6786949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bb0…b502backed Team Tidebound59c1,030$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.3650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf967…8cd4backed Team Tidebound59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4101553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Team Tidebound73c963.37$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.37875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Execration30c925.72$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.778411.9%10 W · 74 L-14.1wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-63.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Team Tidebound59c848.75$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.7523465%152 W · 82 L-1.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a8…f4ebbacked Execration42c830$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Execration24c824$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.763941%16 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00d6…b2e0backed Team Tidebound79c814.61$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.584746.8%22 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Execration32c769.62$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.5814537.2%54 W · 91 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x073a…6f98backed Execration40c726.04$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.3120361.6%125 W · 78 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Execration27c686.32$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.952,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed Team Tidebound62c671.88$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.535060%30 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb787…ad0abacked Execration26c646.55$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.8514446.5%67 W · 77 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Execration8c635$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.656169.7%60 W · 556 L-2.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7582…f6b2backed Team Tidebound58c620$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.4475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+163.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked Team Tidebound62c600$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2311241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fbe…7d07backed Execration40c557.22$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.9425444.5%113 W · 141 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Execration28c512.75$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.345538.2%21 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Team Tidebound78c500$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.453435.3%12 W · 22 L-7.3wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-35.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed Execration39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1952623.1%6 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Team Tidebound60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2007143.7%31 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ed…3ae6backed Team Tidebound70c495.98$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.653458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed Team Tidebound65c484$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.8887645.7%400 W · 476 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c8…a8a3backed Team Tidebound80c480$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4b…774fbacked Team Tidebound59c480$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.054100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1946…e255backed Execration48c418$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.641361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fac…bdd8backed Execration26c409$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2313456%75 W · 59 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Team Tidebound78c400$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8816232.7%53 W · 109 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-29.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Team Tidebound74c396.78$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.1761449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Team Tidebound63c395.53$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.18750.6%44 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe48…5895backed Team Tidebound61c366.46$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.8712147.9%58 W · 63 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee13…0ff0backed Execration44c342.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc76…f087backed Team Tidebound79c324.44$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.133666.7%24 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Team Tidebound54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13811253.6%60 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Execration46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.259250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked Team Tidebound77c298$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.49378.1%3 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-73.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x479f…5bfcbacked Team Tidebound52c269.23$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.23742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked Team Tidebound59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2414251.4%73 W · 69 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc6…a3bcbacked Team Tidebound79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Team Tidebound79c252.85$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.853066.7%20 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Execration46c251.64$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7531545.4%143 W · 172 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7602…c5e1backed Execration42c250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf399…7005backed Execration42c235.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Execration43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022453.1%119 W · 105 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7c…d9d7backed Team Tidebound60c230$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929750.5%49 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1840…e9c5backed Team Tidebound58c210$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b4c…e430backed Team Tidebound53c200.74$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.944949%24 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba94…c78bbacked Team Tidebound68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x031d…db9dbacked Team Tidebound61c200$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7915653.2%83 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Tidebound57c199.27$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6589440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Team Tidebound59c168.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.578160.5%49 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Team Tidebound55c165.91$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5710659.4%63 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4c2…1c20backed Execration32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503321.2%7 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-47.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa1fa…f3bebacked Team Tidebound61c150.14$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1413450.7%68 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Execration26c150$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3934443.9%151 W · 193 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ea8…e2f2backed Team Tidebound58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-15.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17d…d0eebacked Execration44c144.06$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7819246.4%89 W · 103 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdd2…a1fdbacked Execration42c138.28$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.083847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x983d…933fbacked Execration23c132.63$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Execration47c125.8$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3628244%124 W · 158 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6365…df4ebacked Team Tidebound59c125.29$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3722538.7%87 W · 138 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Execration39c124.72$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6477941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57e4…a93cbacked Execration42c121.43$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5130%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe93b…ac2ebacked Team Tidebound66c120.06$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.42450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x143c…88b9backed Execration45c111.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c6…72a8backed Team Tidebound61c106.52$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.521540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0c6…a111backed Team Tidebound62c100.4$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.43275%24 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x374f…5087backed Team Tidebound58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Team Tidebound67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Execration42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f7d…5769backed Team Tidebound59c91$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.311844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Execration41c87.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0714547.6%69 W · 76 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Team Tidebound69c85.83$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.48066.3%53 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Execration26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020457.8%118 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb4e…5ff1backed Team Tidebound80c73.32$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.822277.3%17 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+39.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x824d…1271backed Execration40c70$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.124026.7%64 W · 176 L-30.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-42.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x3461…4629backed Team Tidebound59c66$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.232560%15 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe286…6896backed Execration31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3149…9762backed Team Tidebound78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x614b…5845backed Team Tidebound59c53.05$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.755874.1%43 W · 15 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d60…be72backed Execration39c48.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1919949.2%98 W · 101 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa49…6330backed Team Tidebound62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3911157.7%64 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Team Tidebound58c48.28$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2826958.7%158 W · 111 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.