Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Team Tidebound (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcea1f85e64cc70d00c44b9001737f921ac8c6891031a0256f1895decb82fe3bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Tideboundof OG, Team Tidebound
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed OG | 57c | 18,501$10,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,506.25 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Team Tidebound | 43c | 16,535$7,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,425.6 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…b2e0backed Team Tidebound | 66c | 12,702$8,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,372.33 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed OG | 54c | 9,830$5,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,282.51 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked OG | 63c | 5,815$3,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,636.78 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…abc9backed Team Tidebound | 38c | 5,264$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,263.66 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Tidebound | 37c | 3,123$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.65 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 42c | 2,828$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.67 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Tidebound | 39c | 2,240$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.16 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228a…1094backed Team Tidebound | 37c | 1,890$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…6aedbacked OG | 63c | 1,890$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed OG | 61c | 1,637$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d0…552dbacked Team Tidebound | 38c | 1,465$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed OG | 57c | 1,400$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Team Tidebound | 59c | 1,378$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.1 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked OG | 22c | 1,336$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.04 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Team Tidebound | 39c | 1,329$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.73 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +36%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Team Tidebound | 35c | 1,187$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.45 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed Team Tidebound | 59c | 1,110$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.97 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5f…fc17backed OG | 62c | 930$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde6d…a098backed Team Tidebound | 43c | 826$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed OG | 61c | 799.97$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.98 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed OG | 49c | 792.71$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Team Tidebound | 39c | 771.79$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.79 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed OG | 62c | 699.99$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Tidebound | 49c | 581.46$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.89 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c2…1c20backed OG | 42c | 562.08$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.03 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3dc…889bbacked OG | 62c | 560$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked OG | 62c | 533.22$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.6 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked OG | 51c | 529.01$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.34 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed OG | 62c | 516.94$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x20a5…de1bbacked Team Tidebound | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed Team Tidebound | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Team Tidebound | 37c | 499.98$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked OG | 23c | 491.25$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.95 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4c…e430backed OG | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Team Tidebound | 43c | 459.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.39 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked OG | 61c | 459.02$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86d5…4a04backed Team Tidebound | 73c | 444.97$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.83 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…07eabacked OG | 57c | 440$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa124…19c4backed OG | 57c | 386$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed OG | 5c | 375$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fc…4cd4backed OG | 27c | 350$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Team Tidebound | 42c | 344$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.52 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Team Tidebound | 36c | 331.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.76 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Tidebound | 38c | 327.53$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.07 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed OG | 62c | 321.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed OG | 64c | 311.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd718…aa13backed OG | 63c | 308.95$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.12 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed OG | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed OG | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…ade8backed OG | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed OG | 63c | 279.34$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.32 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked OG | 27c | 262.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked Team Tidebound | 41c | 244$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.96 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed OG | 56c | 242.85$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Tidebound | 45c | 239.36$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.65 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…9ea9backed OG | 43c | 231.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Tidebound | 51c | 231.06$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.65 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked Team Tidebound | 77c | 228.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed OG | 34c | 228.93$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked OG | 64c | 226.67$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.07 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x479f…5bfcbacked OG | 62c | 225.81$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Tidebound | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…d0afbacked OG | 63c | 217.38$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.08 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Team Tidebound | 50c | 206.1$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.52 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Team Tidebound | 38c | 199.97$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.98 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…edf8backed OG | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed OG | 63c | 160$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871c…7f0abacked OG | 63c | 159.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Tidebound | 74c | 158.29$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f2…3263backed OG | 64c | 156.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Tidebound | 40c | 144.39$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.39 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked OG | 33c | 139.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…27ffbacked OG | 42c | 138.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc60c…3bf9backed OG | 62c | 136.18$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.43 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Tidebound | 38c | 134.26$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.26 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed OG | 45c | 133.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked OG | 62c | 132$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Team Tidebound | 57c | 126.05$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed OG | 34c | 125$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…3ef7backed OG | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked OG | 55c | 108.23$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf948…3c5fbacked OG | 47c | 107.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed OG | 63c | 106.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…5769backed OG | 62c | 101$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Team Tidebound | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Team Tidebound | 64c | 97.02$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Team Tidebound | 39c | 96.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Team Tidebound | 59c | 96.28$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…56c0backed Team Tidebound | 55c | 89.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked OG | 24c | 88.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Team Tidebound | 38c | 87.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c6…72a8backed Team Tidebound | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Team Tidebound | 37c | 85.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.93 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed Team Tidebound | 50c | 82.09$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x220b…881abacked OG | 63c | 81.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…ae6ebacked Team Tidebound | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed OG | 63c | 78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked OG | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.