Lol · resolved market
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ccb3e8988b32b8dd0af497e64882ac1d1afef46d715587abac3858c4b859fb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIA Esportsof FURIA Esports, LOUD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed LOUD | 0c | 6,615$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed LOUD | 42c | 2,841$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.17 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b3…a28dbacked FURIA Esports | 60c | 2,675$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.08 | 180 | 65%117 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed LOUD | 40c | 2,124$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.7 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…8927backed FURIA Esports | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 420 | 50.5%212 W · 208 L | +27.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked LOUD | 38c | 1,871$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.25 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…2201backed LOUD | 42c | 1,570$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8787…fd38backed LOUD | 42c | 1,550$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8184…deb5backed LOUD | 42c | 1,543$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00df…0d23backed FURIA Esports | 59c | 1,433$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.31 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked FURIA Esports | 56c | 1,274$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.71 | 191 | 46.1%88 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed LOUD | 32c | 806.72$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.66 | 130 | 30.8%40 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…ecd1backed FURIA Esports | 58c | 790$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…ef65backed FURIA Esports | 58c | 780$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…5b4ebacked FURIA Esports | 58c | 780$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7441…5e12backed FURIA Esports | 58c | 777$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a57…6d63backed FURIA Esports | 58c | 770$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed LOUD | 42c | 767.1$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.35 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…78c1backed FURIA Esports | 58c | 766$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed FURIA Esports | 67c | 753$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.56 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked FURIA Esports | 57c | 706.24$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.79 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed FURIA Esports | 58c | 700$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…cf0bbacked LOUD | 2c | 690$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 176 | 6.3%11 W · 165 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b3…b220backed LOUD | 3c | 539.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed LOUD | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked LOUD | 7c | 438.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 259 | 23.2%60 W · 199 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed LOUD | 44c | 423$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.94 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3af…aca1backed FURIA Esports | 58c | 403.22$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.45 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae6…7acabacked FURIA Esports | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed LOUD | 42c | 381.52$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.24 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed FURIA Esports | 55c | 365.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.82 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f137backed FURIA Esports | 55c | 353.18$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.18 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65ac…2feebacked FURIA Esports | 60c | 335.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.67 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed LOUD | 44c | 315$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.05 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked LOUD | 42c | 202.92$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.41 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked LOUD | 45c | 180$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.31 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked LOUD | 14c | 166.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked LOUD | 16c | 156.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked LOUD | 42c | 149.08$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed FURIA Esports | 57c | 145$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c6…72a8backed LOUD | 45c | 144.01$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked LOUD | 38c | 125.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…b398backed LOUD | 45c | 123.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked FURIA Esports | 56c | 114.91$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed LOUD | 10c | 104.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed FURIA Esports | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 447 | 38%170 W · 277 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed LOUD | 41c | 99.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 397 | 50.1%199 W · 198 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…2fd8backed LOUD | 36c | 98.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed FURIA Esports | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x618d…68e2backed FURIA Esports | 56c | 70.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92e2…7df5backed FURIA Esports | 62c | 59.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4914…2bcbbacked FURIA Esports | 55c | 55.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked LOUD | 37c | 49.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…58d7backed FURIA Esports | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb79…91b5backed FURIA Esports | 59c | 44.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…efc2backed LOUD | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked LOUD | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 171 | 32.2%55 W · 116 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed LOUD | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FURIA Esports | 55c | 37.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad0…31f5backed FURIA Esports | 56c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed37…e10ebacked FURIA Esports | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…83ddbacked LOUD | 45c | 33.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed LOUD | 47c | 31.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a26…e195backed FURIA Esports | 71c | 29.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed LOUD | 43c | 26.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x072c…1c83backed LOUD | 45c | 25.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed LOUD | 42c | 25.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed FURIA Esports | 56c | 23.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 169 | 34.3%58 W · 111 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.