TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
M80of M80, NRG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$250,041
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$262,309

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,041 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed M8067c41,350$27,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,826.5833043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed M8067c29,316$19,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,542.0125842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed NRG32c26,056$8,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,237.1367041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed NRG33c18,193$6,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,039.7145848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b51…edf0backed NRG33c16,600$5,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,427.981533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked M8068c15,304$10,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,838.463767.6%25 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd041…7b26backed NRG33c15,133$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed NRG33c13,400$4,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,42230340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed NRG32c10,000$3,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,159.998042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked NRG33c9,582$3,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,122.0917148%82 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00d6…b2e0backed M8069c7,311$5,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,265.34562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x25ed…6ac6backed NRG32c7,124$2,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,304.719050%45 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked M8066c6,471$4,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200.1483652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed NRG21c5,916$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2506142.6%26 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed M8068c5,287$3,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,700.7110549.5%52 W · 53 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed NRG34c5,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70057647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed M8066c5,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.991,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3f…da87backed NRG18c4,800$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.493132.3%10 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+24.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed M8066c4,600$3,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56471645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked M8067c4,536$3,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.921,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed NRG33c4,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32028248.9%138 W · 144 L+21.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x69ce…1817backed NRG11c3,956$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.632955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x877e…b283backed M8069c3,534$2,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.496350.8%32 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked NRG33c2,905$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.4327452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed M8067c2,800$1,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92414148.9%69 W · 72 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0b5…e89ebacked NRG19c2,444$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.03333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4b…ab60backed NRG32c2,441$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7813357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50f9…c327backed NRG32c2,364$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.3717761%108 W · 69 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed M8068c2,360$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.8378639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked NRG24c2,260$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53413633.1%45 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked M8080c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40076058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x34a6…92c6backed M8076c1,799$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.121758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x910d…5a46backed NRG24c1,776$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed NRG30c1,757$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53421639.8%86 W · 130 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed M8070c1,706$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.875450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed NRG31c1,600$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4969946.5%46 W · 53 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed M8075c1,500$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3826741.8%28 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked NRG32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9923932.2%77 W · 162 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x66ba…621fbacked M8080c1,419$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.8119043.7%83 W · 107 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed NRG14c1,377$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.329734%33 W · 64 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61b…3984backed M8066c1,300$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4428657%49 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed M8078c1,257$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.0560853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked NRG28c1,215$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.2161228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a37…869bbacked M8069c1,193$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.717552%39 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked M8069c1,083$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.3776748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked NRG33c1,060$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.7924440.6%99 W · 145 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b48…4705backed NRG34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34010252%53 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed M8068c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32024139%94 W · 147 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed NRG30c1,000$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.331,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed NRG32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32021846.8%102 W · 116 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed NRG33c999.99$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.65,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed M8072c988.6$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.812147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked M8068c978$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.5129855%164 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed M8069c970$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.77152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7777…49aabacked NRG33c910$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.32737%10 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed NRG35c890.29$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.617247.7%82 W · 90 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed NRG34c882.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026251.1%134 W · 128 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked NRG32c860$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.211631.9%37 W · 79 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15fe…86bebacked M8067c799.98$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.9913646.3%63 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x928e…d701backed M8074c781.54$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.464852.1%25 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed NRG35c777.01$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.0826344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked NRG32c777$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.641,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed NRG33c732.73$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.815442.2%65 W · 89 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked NRG34c728.71$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.765149%25 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed M8068c720$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.453746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed M8070c712.71$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.7113461.9%83 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed NRG10c706.32$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.431,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc631…9655backed NRG17c700$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.57933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked NRG2c699.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked NRG34c684$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.981,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d7c…981cbacked NRG14c672.2$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.114334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed M8069c651.58$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.9914952.3%78 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked M8068c640$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.811353.1%60 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…e89abacked NRG35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002050%10 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c90…cd7bbacked NRG2c564.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.214728.6%42 W · 105 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf82c…0f6fbacked NRG33c553.03$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.52948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a68…6525backed NRG23c530.79$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209215.2%14 W · 78 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7437…e1e9backed NRG34c517.65$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17610942.2%46 W · 63 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked NRG32c510$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1621,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0bf…f035backed NRG34c500.49$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1686943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked M8080c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10016649.4%82 W · 84 L-15.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked NRG10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7815…ade8backed NRG20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-51.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21d8…ad91backed NRG34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed NRG33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16534235.4%121 W · 221 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed NRG30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028351.9%147 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b91…3027backed M8066c470$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b7d4backed NRG33c454.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18ec…bb87backed M8068c443.37$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.37955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5f…7fbfbacked M8067c400$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1324052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8541…a367backed NRG32c400$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12828344.2%125 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked NRG13c399.67$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.381,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked NRG38c395.77$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.682853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ff…0852backed M8068c376.16$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.3720445.6%93 W · 111 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3065…faf0backed NRG33c350$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed20…e0efbacked NRG10c350$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked NRG11c347.88$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2320936.4%76 W · 133 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd1…ae72backed NRG35c340$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11928852.1%150 W · 138 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked NRG28c329.97$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1966034.1%225 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9844…5e6cbacked M8075c325.59$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.951450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.