CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a65b93dcfd30a474412fd367e72b437e6ca3df0a3550e5773f5b60e8509df5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked M80 | 61c | 8,312$5,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,255.48 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked NRG | 9c | 5,310$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.6 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed NRG | 40c | 5,043$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.42 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed NRG | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked NRG | 25c | 3,927$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.54 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed NRG | 7c | 2,985$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.7 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed NRG | 8c | 2,376$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.46 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed NRG | 5c | 2,344$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.17 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked NRG | 6c | 1,410$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked NRG | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed NRG | 21c | 900$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked M80 | 60c | 613$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.2 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed NRG | 11c | 550$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed M80 | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed NRG | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked NRG | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b3…67cdbacked NRG | 5c | 390.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed NRG | 29c | 347.14$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.67 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…ae72backed NRG | 12c | 335.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…6eebbacked NRG | 6c | 220$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad3…1ad5backed M80 | 60c | 184$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -9.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked M80 | 73c | 164.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2960backed NRG | 49c | 162.02$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.66 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…a33fbacked NRG | 34c | 155.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…86bebacked M80 | 50c | 152.02$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.51 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked M80 | 57c | 112.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…0c5dbacked M80 | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked NRG | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc9…851cbacked M80 | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e1…e14ebacked M80 | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3)M80 won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.