TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Lynn Vision (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
The Huns Esportsof The Huns Esports, Lynn Vision
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$166,362
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$184,345

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,362 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Lynn Vision69c19,900$13,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,828.116147.5%29 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed The Huns Esports31c15,190$4,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,462.1967041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Lynn Vision69c12,737$8,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,781.1660853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x25ed…6ac6backed The Huns Esports31c10,944$3,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,551.069050%45 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed The Huns Esports31c10,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,899.9757647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Lynn Vision34c8,632$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,949.791,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed The Huns Esports30c8,444$2,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,911.124862.5%30 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Lynn Vision41c7,016$2,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,842.494,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Lynn Vision69c6,688$4,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,614.7119660.7%119 W · 77 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-7.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Lynn Vision55c5,918$3,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,265.9981751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked Lynn Vision35c5,783$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.8313633.1%45 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b48…4705backed The Huns Esports31c4,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,76010252%53 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ce…1817backed Lynn Vision61c3,623$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200.442955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6be6…2006backed The Huns Esports73c3,432$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.072965.5%19 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked The Huns Esports50c3,037$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,531.783,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked The Huns Esports55c2,844$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.341,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked The Huns Esports31c2,750$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,892.11,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed The Huns Esports55c2,548$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.4423852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc31…133cbacked The Huns Esports78c2,310$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.681442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked The Huns Esports46c2,276$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.565431.5%17 W · 37 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-44.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf684…18cfbacked Lynn Vision1c2,200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Lynn Vision35c2,121$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.572,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28ba…4e57backed Lynn Vision53c2,004$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0657349.3%36 W · 37 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e0b…cd84backed Lynn Vision54c2,000$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.5530%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Lynn Vision69c2,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3801,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Lynn Vision69c2,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38072453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05ca…679bbacked The Huns Esports50c1,947$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.741656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed The Huns Esports37c1,926$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.0575450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x928e…d701backed Lynn Vision56c1,807$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.544852.1%25 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Lynn Vision69c1,793$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.832045%9 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed The Huns Esports60c1,759$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.3510748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb4b…ab60backed The Huns Esports58c1,666$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.843357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66ba…621fbacked The Huns Esports44c1,501$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.5519043.7%83 W · 107 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0b5…e89ebacked Lynn Vision26c1,496$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.02333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Lynn Vision68c1,495$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.6383652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Lynn Vision70c1,429$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00027452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Lynn Vision69c1,346$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.7329855%164 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Lynn Vision38c1,195$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46029851.3%153 W · 145 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Lynn Vision32c1,183$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.8576058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2e22…88a5backed The Huns Esports73c1,176$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.521050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d6…b2e0backed The Huns Esports57c1,146$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.334562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Lynn Vision68c1,059$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.5117148%82 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb687…7f9dbacked Lynn Vision29c1,035$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72c4…cfedbacked Lynn Vision59c1,022$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007042.9%30 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…61bcbacked Lynn Vision42c999.99$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42014239.4%56 W · 86 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x910d…5a46backed The Huns Esports31c967.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.74425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7777…49aabacked The Huns Esports32c940$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.22737%10 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa856…3964backed Lynn Vision70c917.33$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.1322242.8%95 W · 127 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3973…b13ebacked The Huns Esports70c900$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick35cpaid+107.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed The Huns Esports64c894.17$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.1820050.5%101 W · 99 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+37.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed The Huns Esports31c810$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.95,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed The Huns Esports72c800$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2276741.8%28 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked The Huns Esports31c776.97$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.111,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Lynn Vision69c753$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.574362.8%27 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Lynn Vision68c738.28$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.531,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a6…92c6backed Lynn Vision69c724.64$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked Lynn Vision53c715.09$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3798038.8%31 W · 49 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Lynn Vision70c714.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013461.9%83 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed The Huns Esports74c647.57$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.1526251.1%134 W · 128 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Lynn Vision68c638.92$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.0721639.8%86 W · 130 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc65…19a0backed The Huns Esports32c623$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.647739%30 W · 47 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed The Huns Esports54c595.69$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.6996545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Lynn Vision24c586.76$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.4821139.3%83 W · 128 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54c8…0267backed Lynn Vision70c571.43$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc0…a9b8backed The Huns Esports79c559.49$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.49450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Lynn Vision69c552$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.8826344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7253…89edbacked The Huns Esports65c528.87$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.115449.4%76 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d74…2403backed The Huns Esports66c509.27$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.15425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-62.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Lynn Vision42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21028351.9%147 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Lynn Vision70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010442.3%44 W · 60 L-7.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked Lynn Vision28c500$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.566034.1%225 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8541…a367backed The Huns Esports30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35028344.2%125 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed The Huns Esports32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34034235.4%121 W · 221 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Lynn Vision70c499.99$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3496240.3%25 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Lynn Vision70c496.64$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.6558651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x746e…04dabacked The Huns Esports32c490$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.27643.4%33 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed The Huns Esports31c483.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.8732653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x766c…bb56backed Lynn Vision70c428.57$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007245.8%33 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2960backed Lynn Vision32c423.45$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.822035%7 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked Lynn Vision55c419.73$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.5666753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Lynn Vision29c397$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.1333043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Lynn Vision70c390$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.12441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7f…7d7fbacked The Huns Esports80c383.78$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c8…a8a3backed The Huns Esports31c381$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.081553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+51.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc117…3ed5backed Lynn Vision22c360$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.32634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-41.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b9a…73fabacked Lynn Vision53c356.6$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18939353.2%209 W · 184 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6771…b783backed Lynn Vision68c350$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Lynn Vision59c328.45$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.9828453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Lynn Vision69c321.74$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22225252.8%133 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0ba…cf33backed Lynn Vision64c313.99$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.68728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-50.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked The Huns Esports42c312$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.9612153.7%65 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed The Huns Esports32c308.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.8534156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa850…f1babacked Lynn Vision57c306.59$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.763237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e90…af65backed The Huns Esports33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.0311149.5%55 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0821…b58dbacked Lynn Vision70c302.74$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.92650%3 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ac3…2ab9backed The Huns Esports56c302.24$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.98250%41 W · 41 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1939…22e8backed The Huns Esports31c300$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20711840.7%48 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Lynn Vision68c300$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20414148.9%69 W · 72 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0bf…f035backed The Huns Esports32c297.78$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.496943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48f8…9166backed Lynn Vision72c295.33$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.54714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick46cpaid-70.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.