Boxing · resolved market
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd328ba2bd3a8366bf2d2b64deadb3c4f49b1a961f336c77111cb7413b49a117c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked No | 54c | 1,854$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…cec7backed No | 36c | 1,832$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 32c | 1,755$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c5…d343backed No | 42c | 1,424$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…835ebacked Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Yes | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaddd…9407backed Yes | 67c | 799.99$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed Yes | 26c | 639.11$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +289.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed No | 33c | 502.84$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac20…a68abacked No | 42c | 490.18$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked No | 34c | 448.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 67c | 414.2$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…8a95backed Yes | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Yes | 67c | 400$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…7935backed Yes | 67c | 364.18$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Yes | 57c | 361.86$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Yes | 55c | 344.44$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7130…c66fbacked Yes | 70c | 333$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…d516backed No | 30c | 333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ed…88eebacked No | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a18…43b3backed Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Yes | 70c | 284.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9b…0029backed No | 29c | 280.06$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2704…cdd8backed Yes | 62c | 279.37$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5aa…5bd7backed Yes | 66c | 274.63$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcafc…b5a8backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 4cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…3689backed Yes | 61c | 177.85$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 60c | 167.78$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 22cpaid | +200.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff47…a1c3backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…b131backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…d38fbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe5…2b7cbacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7808…3046backed Yes | 65c | 147.6$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 48cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 70c | 143.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Yes | 61c | 130.77$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…d66ebacked No | 41c | 127.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 58c | 122.7$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b68…c8bbbacked No | 42c | 120.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ba…e7c4backed Yes | 73c | 113.98$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…ff83backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…1dd2backed Yes | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e1…f41dbacked Yes | 60c | 79.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac5…9782backed Yes | 60c | 76.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f90…163cbacked No | 21c | 75.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1959…0b3fbacked Yes | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…17dabacked Yes | 67c | 73.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Yes | 60c | 72.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd8…e1fbbacked Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +98%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaafd…e374backed Yes | 69c | 68.19$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…38debacked Yes | 67c | 67.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 32c | 62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +175.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699e…55bcbacked No | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd1…c5f5backed No | 38c | 52.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…64f9backed Yes | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed No | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fce…2566backed No | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…1e4ebacked No | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6e…6a74backed Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe47…d48cbacked Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d6fbbacked Yes | 63c | 31.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…d99dbacked No | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d5…9af9backed Yes | 60c | 26.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0200…275dbacked Yes | 79c | 25.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 67c | 24.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10c0…0742backed Yes | 67c | 22.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed0…4f26backed Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5a…8008backed Yes | 60c | 17.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +95%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 3?this page
- Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Go the Distance?No won
- Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 2?Yes won
- Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 4?Yes won
- Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 5?Yes won
- Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 6?Yes won
- Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.