Lol · resolved market
LoL: Priority vs KIA.eSuba Academy (BO1) - Hitpoint Masters Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ff1845ec3587911a998a90cd9f3569d012c91a16f8b2aafb7755c73b84e7ccf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Priorityof Priority, KIA.eSuba Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9605…4ad4backed KIA.eSuba Academy | 1c | 2,511$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Priority | 50c | 2,056$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.03 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Priority | 37c | 1,521$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.41 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KIA.eSuba Academy | 63c | 1,204$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.39 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Priority | 41c | 406.1$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.6 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b7…52bebacked KIA.eSuba Academy | 59c | 340$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd660…dd8bbacked KIA.eSuba Academy | 63c | 175.67$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked KIA.eSuba Academy | 50c | 172.08$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.04 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fec…871cbacked KIA.eSuba Academy | 50c | 164.88$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed KIA.eSuba Academy | 50c | 161.18$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.59 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…4574backed KIA.eSuba Academy | 63c | 120.53$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.93 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed KIA.eSuba Academy | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7808…3046backed KIA.eSuba Academy | 50c | 79.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked KIA.eSuba Academy | 59c | 61.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…7092backed KIA.eSuba Academy | 50c | 54.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73ee…5d16backed KIA.eSuba Academy | 50c | 54.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…cd31backed KIA.eSuba Academy | 50c | 51.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9617…415fbacked KIA.eSuba Academy | 50c | 48.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b2…7917backed KIA.eSuba Academy | 50c | 44.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…749fbacked KIA.eSuba Academy | 50c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…d270backed KIA.eSuba Academy | 50c | 35.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf78…6d09backed Priority | 46c | 35.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf464…0607backed KIA.eSuba Academy | 50c | 30.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f8…5bf4backed KIA.eSuba Academy | 50c | 27.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52f…db16backed KIA.eSuba Academy | 50c | 26.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -65%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb364…f1e3backed KIA.eSuba Academy | 50c | 25.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71eb…5ec6backed KIA.eSuba Academy | 50c | 24.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf4…f5e5backed KIA.eSuba Academy | 50c | 24.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 63cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb122…8405backed KIA.eSuba Academy | 50c | 23.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfa…26d0backed KIA.eSuba Academy | 50c | 23.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked KIA.eSuba Academy | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…6bc8backed KIA.eSuba Academy | 63c | 18.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.