Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Draper (-1.5) vs Halys (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x272ebb673eba831604aa7f1323d68b078bfb6cc9438ec47c85c8d402669f3388
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Draperof Draper, Halys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Halys | 53c | 11,166$5,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,960.21 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Draper | 44c | 11,000$4,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,159.89 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcf…dff4backed Draper | 49c | 8,105$3,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,133.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9f…b134backed Halys | 51c | 8,105$4,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,133.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e2…2c81backed Halys | 51c | 3,983$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.09 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…a070backed Draper | 49c | 2,460$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…b291backed Draper | 49c | 2,260$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Draper | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Halys | 50c | 1,995$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.5 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Draper | 73c | 1,152$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.23 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Halys | 56c | 993.61$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fd…abf9backed Draper | 57c | 750.31$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.65 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Draper | 47c | 739.88$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.88 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…2454backed Halys | 51c | 737.7$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1909…a2c9backed Halys | 56c | 709.19$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Halys | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Draper | 47c | 394.98$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.34 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Draper | 51c | 294.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.67 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Halys | 33c | 287.45$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.83 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Draper | 70c | 241.71$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.71 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…bd29backed Draper | 56c | 220.83$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.83 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Halys | 58c | 219.62$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.17 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Halys | 43c | 206.93$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Halys | 49c | 205$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Halys | 37c | 201.65$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 134 | 35.1%47 W · 87 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…7505backed Draper | 46c | 194.54$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Draper | 47c | 189.25$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Halys | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 39%57 W · 89 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Draper | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Draper | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed Halys | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 418 | 46.2%193 W · 225 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Draper | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Draper | 26c | 84.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.74 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…d837backed Draper | 14c | 84.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.70per pick | 14cpaid | +691.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…ebbdbacked Halys | 53c | 71.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Halys | 54c | 55.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Halys | 40c | 54.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Draper | 46c | 52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Draper | 53c | 41.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Halys | 47c | 34.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Draper | 53c | 34.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Draper | 48c | 31.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Halys | 43c | 26.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9c…6b57backed Draper | 49c | 25.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 38cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7808…3046backed Halys | 51c | 22.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Halys | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 313 | 39.9%125 W · 188 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Draper (-1.5) vs Halys (+1.5)this page
- Dubai Tennis Championships: Quentin Halys vs Jack DraperDraper won
- Halys vs. Draper: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Halys vs. Draper: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.