TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Dallas Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Ben Shelton

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sheltonof Mannarino, Shelton
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$357,123
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$394,381

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $357,123 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8df8…59ddbacked Mannarino21c33,995$6,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,989.1824438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Mannarino18c24,964$4,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,544.21,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Mannarino20c17,536$3,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,502.1676546.8%358 W · 407 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Mannarino10c10,736$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.842,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Mannarino20c10,562$2,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,091.212259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Shelton75c10,556$7,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,668.8611,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Shelton80c8,653$6,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.514750.3%74 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Shelton80c6,097$4,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.6965959%389 W · 270 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Mannarino0c4,928$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.192,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Mannarino18c4,584$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.6897046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Mannarino20c3,600$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72012147.1%57 W · 64 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd096…d2f1backed Mannarino11c3,582$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4371…4fd9backed Mannarino29c3,448$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009749.5%48 W · 49 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Mannarino19c3,429$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.4823945.6%109 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Mannarino18c3,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54023126%60 W · 171 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Mannarino19c3,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.3822737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Mannarino21c2,908$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.41,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Mannarino10c2,780$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.6412313.8%17 W · 106 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Mannarino20c2,700$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54031332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Shelton80c2,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50044360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Mannarino17c2,454$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.882,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Mannarino19c2,439$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46057649.5%285 W · 291 L-32.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Shelton80c2,375$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4753467.6%23 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdce3…9d85backed Mannarino14c2,065$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.395133.3%17 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb62f…6836backed Mannarino4c2,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708530.6%26 W · 59 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Mannarino20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40038955.3%215 W · 174 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Shelton80c1,804$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.7676140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Mannarino22c1,788$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.891,12542.8%482 W · 643 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Mannarino21c1,691$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.62,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Mannarino15c1,549$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22537339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Shelton80c1,419$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.423,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34d5…a977backed Mannarino15c1,240$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.995349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Mannarino11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11015244.1%67 W · 85 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddc…83b9backed Mannarino20c908.25$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18012951.9%67 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Shelton79c902.96$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.6287251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Mannarino17c900$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15320653.4%110 W · 96 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Mannarino22c835.29$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.7328552.3%149 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Mannarino19c796$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.5421338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked Shelton76c789.75$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.755056%28 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Mannarino22c773$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.064,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a52…06cbbacked Mannarino29c706.9$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20517056.5%96 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Shelton80c667.1$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.427462.2%46 W · 28 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Shelton79c581$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.9169249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Mannarino17c572$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.027,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Mannarino18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904,08239.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L+93.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4712…5bd6backed Shelton80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10014475%108 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Mannarino18c477.61$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.977146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0303…1770backed Mannarino11c454.05$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.14450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+135.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Mannarino13c452$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.892,08754.1%1,130 W · 957 L+64.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Mannarino18c400$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709643.8%42 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0b4…150ebacked Mannarino25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9514947%70 W · 79 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Mannarino18c400$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7212439.5%49 W · 75 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Mannarino13c384.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Shelton74c381$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.06757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Mannarino20c358$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.61,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f8f…8ed0backed Mannarino28c355.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004736.2%17 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Mannarino16c351.29$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5533326.4%88 W · 245 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Mannarino12c343.93$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3216132.3%52 W · 109 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Mannarino13c316.14$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8826746.1%123 W · 144 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Mannarino19c310$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.935730.5%109 W · 248 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a5d…526fbacked Mannarino14c307.07$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.713256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Mannarino6c299.95$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.84599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Mannarino21c274.43$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6388446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf73f…8ba0backed Mannarino18c261.33$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0432937.4%123 W · 206 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Mannarino19c260.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.521,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked Mannarino12c241.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.927839.7%31 W · 47 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-32.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mannarino27c225$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.931,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Mannarino24c205$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1515648.7%76 W · 80 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed Mannarino19c199.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe901…3139backed Mannarino12c193.68$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2323832.4%77 W · 161 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa206…0f9bbacked Shelton80c187.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.51553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Mannarino20c185$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3720257.4%116 W · 86 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbeb0…4cd4backed Mannarino21c180.95$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382045%9 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+29.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51fb…b328backed Mannarino10c173$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.01520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-63.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Shelton79c170.29$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8722953.3%122 W · 107 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Mannarino21c165.14$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342,33946.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L+55.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Shelton77c148.22$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.091,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ace…6f42backed Mannarino16c147.77$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b0…02c6backed Mannarino15c146.01$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22807.5%6 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Mannarino17c142.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1712450.8%63 W · 61 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Shelton73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…e4abbacked Mannarino18c136.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.041225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Shelton80c133.54$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7165652.1%342 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Mannarino17c129.08$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5449143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8666…a368backed Mannarino19c127.68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.266327%17 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Shelton80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254146.3%19 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-25.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Mannarino16c122.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9553752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Mannarino21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530741.7%128 W · 179 L-1.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e64…7308backed Mannarino21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255343.4%23 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6617…dfb9backed Mannarino12c117.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5924249.2%119 W · 123 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Mannarino18c117$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0660240.5%244 W · 358 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d5f…91fdbacked Mannarino21c113.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.84434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Mannarino27c110.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028322.3%63 W · 220 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7747…8d9bbacked Mannarino14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531941.4%132 W · 187 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Mannarino18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1827344.7%122 W · 151 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4526…783ebacked Mannarino12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick27cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Mannarino18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bec…37d3backed Shelton73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2714272.5%103 W · 39 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6079…81c6backed Mannarino20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204551.1%23 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Mannarino18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1818644.6%83 W · 103 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.