Tennis · resolved market
Dallas Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Ben Shelton
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd02fa5ff873e3d162055ae5b9a0c7b5b7bb1b0834312483891562c2596770518
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sheltonof Mannarino, Shelton
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $357,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $394,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $357,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Mannarino | 21c | 33,995$6,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,989.18 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Mannarino | 18c | 24,964$4,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,544.2 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Mannarino | 20c | 17,536$3,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,502.16 | 765 | 46.8%358 W · 407 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mannarino | 10c | 10,736$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.84 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Mannarino | 20c | 10,562$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.21 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shelton | 75c | 10,556$7,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,668.86 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Shelton | 80c | 8,653$6,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.5 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Shelton | 80c | 6,097$4,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.69 | 659 | 59%389 W · 270 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Mannarino | 0c | 4,928$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Mannarino | 18c | 4,584$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.68 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Mannarino | 20c | 3,600$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd096…d2f1backed Mannarino | 11c | 3,582$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…4fd9backed Mannarino | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Mannarino | 19c | 3,429$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.48 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Mannarino | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Mannarino | 19c | 3,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.38 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Mannarino | 21c | 2,908$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.4 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Mannarino | 10c | 2,780$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.64 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Mannarino | 20c | 2,700$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Shelton | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Mannarino | 17c | 2,454$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.88 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Mannarino | 19c | 2,439$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 576 | 49.5%285 W · 291 L | -32.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Shelton | 80c | 2,375$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…9d85backed Mannarino | 14c | 2,065$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.39 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb62f…6836backed Mannarino | 4c | 2,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Mannarino | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 389 | 55.3%215 W · 174 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Shelton | 80c | 1,804$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.76 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Mannarino | 22c | 1,788$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.89 | 1,125 | 42.8%482 W · 643 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Mannarino | 21c | 1,691$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.6 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Mannarino | 15c | 1,549$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Shelton | 80c | 1,419$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.42 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…a977backed Mannarino | 15c | 1,240$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Mannarino | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Mannarino | 20c | 908.25$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Shelton | 79c | 902.96$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.62 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Mannarino | 17c | 900$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Mannarino | 22c | 835.29$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.73 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Mannarino | 19c | 796$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.54 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Shelton | 76c | 789.75$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.75 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Mannarino | 22c | 773$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.06 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…06cbbacked Mannarino | 29c | 706.9$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…15e5backed Shelton | 80c | 667.1$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.42 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Shelton | 79c | 581$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.91 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Mannarino | 17c | 572$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Mannarino | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed Shelton | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 144 | 75%108 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Mannarino | 18c | 477.61$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.97 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…1770backed Mannarino | 11c | 454.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Mannarino | 13c | 452$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.89 | 2,087 | 54.1%1,130 W · 957 L | +64.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Mannarino | 18c | 400$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b4…150ebacked Mannarino | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Mannarino | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Mannarino | 13c | 384.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Shelton | 74c | 381$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Mannarino | 20c | 358$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8f…8ed0backed Mannarino | 28c | 355.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Mannarino | 16c | 351.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 333 | 26.4%88 W · 245 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Mannarino | 12c | 343.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mannarino | 13c | 316.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Mannarino | 19c | 310$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 357 | 30.5%109 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5d…526fbacked Mannarino | 14c | 307.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Mannarino | 6c | 299.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Mannarino | 21c | 274.43$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Mannarino | 18c | 261.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 329 | 37.4%123 W · 206 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Mannarino | 19c | 260.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Mannarino | 12c | 241.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mannarino | 27c | 225$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Mannarino | 24c | 205$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Mannarino | 19c | 199.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…3139backed Mannarino | 12c | 193.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa206…0f9bbacked Shelton | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Mannarino | 20c | 185$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 202 | 57.4%116 W · 86 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb0…4cd4backed Mannarino | 21c | 180.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fb…b328backed Mannarino | 10c | 173$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Shelton | 79c | 170.29$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Mannarino | 21c | 165.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Shelton | 77c | 148.22$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ace…6f42backed Mannarino | 16c | 147.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b0…02c6backed Mannarino | 15c | 146.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 80 | 7.5%6 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Mannarino | 17c | 142.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Shelton | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…e4abbacked Mannarino | 18c | 136.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Shelton | 80c | 133.54$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 656 | 52.1%342 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Mannarino | 17c | 129.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…a368backed Mannarino | 19c | 127.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Shelton | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Mannarino | 16c | 122.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Mannarino | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 307 | 41.7%128 W · 179 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Mannarino | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…dfb9backed Mannarino | 12c | 117.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Mannarino | 18c | 117$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…91fdbacked Mannarino | 21c | 113.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Mannarino | 27c | 110.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…8d9bbacked Mannarino | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Mannarino | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 273 | 44.7%122 W · 151 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…783ebacked Mannarino | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mannarino | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bec…37d3backed Shelton | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 142 | 72.5%103 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Mannarino | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Mannarino | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Ben Sheltonthis page
- Mannarino vs. Shelton: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Mannarino vs. Shelton: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Mannarino vs. Shelton: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Mannarino vs SheltonShelton won
- Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Mannarino (+1.5)Mannarino won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.