TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs NRG - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof MOUZ, NRG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$180,725
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$192,125

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,725 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8918…f4e4backed NRG0c57,079$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.082528%7 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-53.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked NRG36c36,176$13,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,108.413,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e62…ef0fbacked MOUZ68c14,183$9,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,568.72751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ67c10,975$7,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,644.293,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked NRG51c8,003$4,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,055.7160540%242 W · 363 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ64c6,972$4,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,480.081,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed NRG24c6,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.71,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ68c5,716$3,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.242,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked NRG35c5,060$1,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,787.522,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ68c4,679$3,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,486.261,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7e7cbacked MOUZ73c4,666$3,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.5321042.9%90 W · 120 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfadd…3955backed MOUZ64c4,274$2,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.058052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed NRG12c3,425$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.98416.7%14 W · 70 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed NRG15c3,099$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.9272453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed MOUZ42c3,005$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,744.9128453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d99…5591backed MOUZ73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8101442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked NRG14c2,261$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.9822927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG21c1,924$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.077,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x63ad…790cbacked NRG16c1,813$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2909352.7%49 W · 44 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked NRG27c1,784$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.522,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed MOUZ74c1,500$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.2239468%268 W · 126 L+26.1wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed NRG34c1,500$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.854,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed NRG16c1,427$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.3697240.7%396 W · 576 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked MOUZ80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25013952.5%73 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked MOUZ54c1,107$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.6235643%153 W · 203 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked MOUZ55c1,000$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4521,16748.2%562 W · 605 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed NRG37c900$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.071,28322%282 W · 1,001 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed NRG17c786$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6364652.8%341 W · 305 L+26.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked MOUZ49c723.92$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.247347.1%223 W · 250 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26a0…9fcdbacked MOUZ57c699.98$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.992263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed NRG23c675.01$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.4129128.5%83 W · 208 L-30.2wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-38.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb9fb…95fbbacked MOUZ46c612.89$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.099353.8%50 W · 43 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x871e…6566backed MOUZ49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3063158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dc9…e7f6backed MOUZ76c600$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e30…bbfebacked MOUZ78c504.66$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf9…5b10backed NRG51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed NRG47c450.19$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.1944743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed NRG51c414.35$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.3282143%353 W · 468 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed NRG27c391$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.41,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked MOUZ71c378$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.3247738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed MOUZ64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10847741.7%199 W · 278 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fec…871cbacked MOUZ60c291.56$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.62875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdae9…f444backed MOUZ72c277.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.721546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7b…0cc9backed MOUZ73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.976755.2%37 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88b5…539abacked NRG44c227.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006250%31 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed NRG16c216.84$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6924233.9%82 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55aa…4f8ebacked MOUZ60c202.43$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.971050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25d5…cf1ebacked MOUZ70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-40.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed NRG52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10420462.7%128 W · 76 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a89…196fbacked NRG52c197.68$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1026352.4%33 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked NRG27c189.42$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7259647.3%282 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1b5…2524backed NRG41c162.81$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.28520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-68.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked NRG52c161.39$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7232352%168 W · 155 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4425…12efbacked NRG51c160$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.68248.8%40 W · 42 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd72e…3627backed MOUZ50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed NRG31c153.87$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1369863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed MOUZ60c152.18$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.877648.7%37 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed MOUZ61c147.12$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.061,54833.9%524 W · 1,024 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed NRG49c143$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6111245.5%51 W · 61 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d0…ed62backed NRG22c124.3$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed NRG51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.25550.9%28 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01a…bf29backed NRG49c110$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5610167.3%68 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed MOUZ80c106.1$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2258961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed NRG28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2827735.7%99 W · 178 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed MOUZ66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3458651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked NRG43c99.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4333658.6%197 W · 139 L+23.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7808…3046backed MOUZ60c95.97$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.39666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked NRG22c95.59$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2170423.9%168 W · 536 L+2.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed MOUZ59c92.17$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4513537.8%51 W · 84 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked NRG59c91.78$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1538259.7%228 W · 154 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed MOUZ60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a8…bdc6backed NRG34c80.71$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4411354%61 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5264…54cebacked MOUZ60c74.43$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.77560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34f7…0effbacked NRG33c71.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9830%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed NRG32c68.52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8729350.2%147 W · 146 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed NRG23c66.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4811742.7%50 W · 67 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x73ee…5d16backed MOUZ60c64.82$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.93475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7166…cd31backed MOUZ60c60.75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60df…7092backed MOUZ60c58.38$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.35757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed MOUZ72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1717944.1%79 W · 100 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce16…749fbacked MOUZ60c45.15$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.06757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe09c…f300backed NRG53c44.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.574050%20 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc79f…d270backed MOUZ59c43.37$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.781241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40a9…733fbacked NRG25c41.9$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f85…e93cbacked NRG49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked NRG51c40.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.427425.7%19 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf464…0607backed MOUZ60c35.28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.11580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+40.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaed4…4cc9backed NRG60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked NRG52c33.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.279941.4%41 W · 58 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ccc…6b82backed MOUZ58c32.9$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.797850%39 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2f8…5bf4backed MOUZ60c32.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.072272.7%16 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cf4…f5e5backed MOUZ60c30.32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.13757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed NRG52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522254.5%121 W · 101 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71eb…5ec6backed MOUZ60c28.73$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.49757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb122…8405backed MOUZ60c28.03$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.21450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked MOUZ70c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.54060%24 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0c5…da68backed MOUZ50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.59942.4%42 W · 57 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+9.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ77c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.874,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2176…5e23backed NRG52c23.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97d3…3296backed MOUZ60c21.83$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.732100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.