CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf74af7c13754696c3fcd669db6f9fbdcaebbb8120806cfa4d001d89e165c195
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed MOUZ | 65c | 8,385$5,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,910.34 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed NRG | 35c | 6,260$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.7 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked NRG | 34c | 5,998$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.69 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed MOUZ | 67c | 5,900$3,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.84 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed MOUZ | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed MOUZ | 65c | 2,159$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.71 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked NRG | 33c | 1,982$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.92 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed NRG | 35c | 1,552$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.29 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed NRG | 33c | 1,031$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.37 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed NRG | 33c | 906.8$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.24 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213f…1da2backed NRG | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked NRG | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed NRG | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked NRG | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked NRG | 34c | 479.8$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.56 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x331a…ff18backed MOUZ | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked MOUZ | 66c | 212.12$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed NRG | 34c | 201$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed NRG | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 233 | 33%77 W · 156 L | -22.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked NRG | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked NRG | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed MOUZ | 67c | 40.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked MOUZ | 64c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4e…5ecbbacked MOUZ | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group BMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.