CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs NRG - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7ac6d46ec269e519810a1d96e328c3c864a5ebd6a9c72a3000a1bee048fbe9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $203,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $213,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked NRG | 0c | 68,916$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.09 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ | 65c | 41,658$27,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,498.19 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked NRG | 29c | 11,999$3,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,496.06 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed NRG | 41c | 11,606$4,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,725.81 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ | 54c | 5,551$2,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.93 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed NRG | 36c | 5,359$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.74 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked NRG | 38c | 4,701$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.36 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked NRG | 28c | 4,496$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.82 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked NRG | 51c | 4,222$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,152.6 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed NRG | 47c | 2,137$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.28 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c9…b8bbbacked NRG | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked MOUZ | 29c | 1,706$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.86 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed NRG | 32c | 1,604$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.22 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ | 46c | 1,079$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.78 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked MOUZ | 49c | 929.95$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.67 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked NRG | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked NRG | 28c | 925.07$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.02 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed NRG | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked NRG | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked NRG | 20c | 731.35$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.41 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ | 60c | 721.29$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.1 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed NRG | 16c | 700$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed NRG | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed NRG | 28c | 592.68$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.55 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked MOUZ | 41c | 522.22$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.22 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5b10backed MOUZ | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…ce61backed MOUZ | 76c | 497.39$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed MOUZ | 44c | 481.9$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.04 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed NRG | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed MOUZ | 78c | 385.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.24 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed NRG | 22c | 336.74$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.08 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG | 28c | 311.73$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.86 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed NRG | 40c | 300.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.23 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc9…e7f6backed MOUZ | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked NRG | 74c | 300$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.09 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed NRG | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f9…cfd8backed NRG | 40c | 250.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed NRG | 20c | 249.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed NRG | 53c | 198.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.47 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed NRG | 52c | 162$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.19 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…9dc3backed NRG | 40c | 156.08$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…d9febacked NRG | 50c | 147.22$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bc…9d13backed MOUZ | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed MOUZ | 57c | 129.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.07 | 101 | 67.3%68 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bb…f345backed NRG | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…ef0fbacked MOUZ | 47c | 96.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked MOUZ | 47c | 95.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 29c | 95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.45 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed NRG | 41c | 93.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked MOUZ | 50c | 83.02$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b32…d6a8backed MOUZ | 76c | 78.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed NRG | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed MOUZ | 55c | 71.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked NRG | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed MOUZ | 25c | 62.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked NRG | 58c | 60.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked NRG | 23c | 59.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a8…bdc6backed NRG | 75c | 59.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…f86ebacked MOUZ | 75c | 52.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…da68backed MOUZ | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed NRG | 72c | 45.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked MOUZ | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed NRG | 54c | 39.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc963…4137backed NRG | 31c | 38.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…c19dbacked MOUZ | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…d1ffbacked MOUZ | 48c | 35.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed MOUZ | 64c | 33.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…5d02backed MOUZ | 79c | 31.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked MOUZ | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed MOUZ | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 222 | 54.5%121 W · 101 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7730…df57backed MOUZ | 77c | 28.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 67c | 24.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…4cc9backed NRG | 58c | 19.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed MOUZ | 72c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group BMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.