Bundesliga · resolved market
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a43fc73d37cb77cd2c89a4b6710d81412c4039d89a27b1c1cabcf8ef065a586
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 59c | 104,312$61,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,269.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -51%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 41c | 44,541$18,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,320.89 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 19,601$8,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,004.81 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 41c | 8,594$3,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,529.38 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 43c | 6,935$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 35c | 6,560$2,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.17 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 41c | 4,861$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 31c | 3,086$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.5 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Over | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Over | 43c | 2,383$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -44%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 48c | 1,790$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.09 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Under | 69c | 1,442$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.71 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 43c | 1,400$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 43c | 1,177$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.22 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 37c | 1,012$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.83 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 41c | 826$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.66 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 11c | 801$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +193.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Over | 41c | 728$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.48 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Over | 42c | 715.12$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4475…0d28backed Over | 43c | 676.39$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 55c | 601.64$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.71 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Over | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 59c | 593.22$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.22 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 60c | 586.14$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.79 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Under | 58c | 536.05$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.14 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Over | 48c | 447.12$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.79 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b77…11d2backed Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 41c | 413$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.33 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c8…8538backed Under | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 57c | 399.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.99 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 43c | 375.13$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.31 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 351.55$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.41 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over | 41c | 346.1$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 41c | 339$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.99 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…3b30backed Under | 70c | 260.8$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf728…1632backed Under | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…3a3fbacked Over | 48c | 223.88$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Over | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Over | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 42c | 182.73$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 42c | 171.9$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…068abacked Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…88e2backed Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…c85dbacked Over | 45c | 159$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 24c | 140.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 58c | 140$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 42c | 118.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 64c | 103$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8877…1fa6backed Over | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ee…953bbacked Under | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Over | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…a875backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Under | 58c | 93$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Under | 56c | 78.18$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked Over | 41c | 78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 57c | 68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2b…b1debacked Under | 57c | 63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 56c | 59.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Over | 42c | 57.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Over | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Over | 43c | 42.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7808…3046backed Over | 52c | 41.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e5…260cbacked Over | 42c | 40.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6a5cbacked Under | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 36c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Over | 44c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Under | 61c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…a8f7backed Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca1…8efbbacked Under | 75c | 35.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859b…297ebacked Under | 59c | 34.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Over | 53c | 34.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…8facbacked Under | 61c | 29.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Over | 43c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed Over | 42c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Over | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Over | 42c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Over | 44c | 27.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Over | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Over | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Over | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x609b…5877backed Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5this page
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.