Bundesliga · resolved market
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3df8e7b2f989675228687bb1034db806d61ed79ca70a2c4c23f02969920c8ba1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed No | 39c | 177$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 151.03$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.66 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 53c | 122$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked No | 39c | 109$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.49 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc69…78b3backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 78.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed No | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed No | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Yes | 60c | 51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Yes | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Yes | 61c | 36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed Yes | 61c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked No | 40c | 31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Yes | 59c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed No | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 62c | 29.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Yes | 60c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Yes | 60c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed Yes | 61c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed Yes | 60c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…4293backed Yes | 60c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed Yes | 60c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Yes | 60c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Yes | 61c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed Yes | 61c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Yes | 61c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5Under won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.