Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91f5b15201e960a0c24c504faed1484132707b537d870d1ce514b59ca36e56a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmundof BV Borussia 09 Dortmund, Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 58c | 6,148$3,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,565.84 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 42c | 3,750$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4c | 2,900$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…c26cbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 42c | 2,280$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 54cpaid | +96%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4c | 2,200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.99 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 43c | 1,395$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 57c | 1,373$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.36 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +257.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 61c | 1,135$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 59c | 1,115$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 3c | 1,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 27c | 949.58$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.76 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 35c | 920.39$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.05 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 35c | 918.71$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.47 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 39c | 849.43$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.15 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 42c | 812.72$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.38 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 65c | 600$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 39c | 560.66$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77e1…5924backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 6c | 515$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 50c | 489.22$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.57 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 62c | 325.2$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.18 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 41c | 287.8$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 41c | 249.86$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.42 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -62%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 24c | 229$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.04 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe666…14f5backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 36c | 162.53$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.79 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d80…7a4bbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 60c | 161.48$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 43c | 140.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.23 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 60c | 134.32$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 61c | 119.97$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.18 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 57c | 118.88$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 42c | 118$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 38c | 114.81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.6 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 59c | 110.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 40c | 95.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.01 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…62c7backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 61c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…0bdfbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 59c | 59.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 59c | 59.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9887…79a8backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd8…e1fbbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 59c | 43.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -7.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…c8c2backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 40c | 32.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 41c | 32.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a01…9320backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6a5cbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 55c | 21.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2f…420ebacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 55c | 18.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 57c | 18.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)this page
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5Under won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.