Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Marist Red Foxes vs. Merrimack College Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1aa2d40576d63e74493d9bcaa17ae649df5ef4af6c965d163f29feb02d35f33d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Merrimack College Warriorsof Marist Red Foxes, Merrimack College Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x441d…191bbacked Marist Red Foxes | 4c | 2,400$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf878…05c1backed Marist Red Foxes | 7c | 1,600$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Marist Red Foxes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x037f…e61cbacked Marist Red Foxes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc8…d9bebacked Marist Red Foxes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…fa80backed Marist Red Foxes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed Marist Red Foxes | 5c | 900$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Marist Red Foxes | 5c | 900$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 5cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed Marist Red Foxes | 5c | 800$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Marist Red Foxes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3383…a555backed Marist Red Foxes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Marist Red Foxes | 25c | 304.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.89 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22be…e36ebacked Marist Red Foxes | 8c | 226$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Marist Red Foxes | 36c | 88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Marist Red Foxes | 22c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Merrimack College Warriors | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 48 | 77.1%37 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7808…3046backed Merrimack College Warriors | 65c | 69.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3a…752fbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 65c | 64.08$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marist Red Foxes | 38c | 52.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Marist Red Foxes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Merrimack College Warriors | 62c | 34.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…2022backed Merrimack College Warriors | 64c | 28.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5afa…3dd1backed Merrimack College Warriors | 65c | 27.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Merrimack College Warriors | 54c | 27.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.