Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Borges vs Wong
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88e01e874659c7ff804993f8253305a2b59df68855f97429f7b69a607f17a921
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wongof Borges, Wong
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x197b…a6b0backed Wong | 49c | 5,961$2,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4958…a146backed Borges | 51c | 2,058$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.35 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…3eefbacked Borges | 51c | 1,979$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…6448backed Borges | 52c | 1,925$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Borges | 63c | 270.17$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.71 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…7505backed Wong | 57c | 209.92$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.92 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Wong | 50c | 151.43$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Wong | 13c | 82.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.68 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Borges | 54c | 73.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Borges | 49c | 69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Borges | 49c | 52.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Wong | 50c | 49.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +8.4wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…1da8backed Wong | 51c | 49.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Borges | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Wong | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Borges | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Borges | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Borges vs Wongthis page
- Borges vs. Wong: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Delray Beach Open: Nuno Borges vs Coleman WongWong won
- Set Handicap: Borges (-1.5) vs Wong (+1.5)Wong won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.