Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28d4dead30949bab1821f2718bdc7268e8423c30fc49e412f4c2e81d540300a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, GIANTX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13f9…88f3backed GIANTX | 53c | 32,020$16,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,970.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…0cdebacked GIANTX | 53c | 24,500$12,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,985 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed GIANTX | 47c | 5,765$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,709.76 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…db7abacked Karmine Corp | 53c | 4,163$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…a6b0backed GIANTX | 53c | 3,728$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.09 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…8927backed Karmine Corp | 51c | 2,571$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.57 | 420 | 50.5%212 W · 208 L | +27.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked GIANTX | 54c | 2,215$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd462…eaecbacked Karmine Corp | 47c | 2,188$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.74 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…a070backed Karmine Corp | 47c | 1,970$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.97 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cb…4d21backed GIANTX | 53c | 1,970$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.97 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…3eefbacked GIANTX | 53c | 1,902$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.29 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6c…8f4ebacked Karmine Corp | 47c | 1,902$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…7961backed Karmine Corp | 47c | 1,540$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Karmine Corp | 48c | 1,300$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked GIANTX | 53c | 1,162$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.03 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…cbaabacked Karmine Corp | 53c | 941.42$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.47 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Karmine Corp | 47c | 818$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.54 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216c…d1f5backed Karmine Corp | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked GIANTX | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed GIANTX | 53c | 570.67$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.16 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 566.91$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.13 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…1a19backed GIANTX | 56c | 497.92$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.5 | 380 | 34.7%132 W · 248 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Karmine Corp | 48c | 428.65$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.9 | 749 | 49.7%372 W · 377 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked Karmine Corp | 44c | 407.06$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.15 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed GIANTX | 54c | 329.97$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.19 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Karmine Corp | 48c | 289.6$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.6 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked GIANTX | 49c | 214.26$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Karmine Corp | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Karmine Corp | 47c | 208.4$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.45 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Karmine Corp | 52c | 163.78$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.14 | 645 | 56.6%365 W · 280 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…c638backed Karmine Corp | 47c | 147.92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.92 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Karmine Corp | 48c | 129.16$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed GIANTX | 48c | 116.43$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed GIANTX | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…03cbbacked GIANTX | 53c | 93.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…2be7backed GIANTX | 55c | 88.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Karmine Corp | 47c | 72.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Karmine Corp | 48c | 68.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed GIANTX | 53c | 65.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 394 | 50.3%198 W · 196 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…3abcbacked Karmine Corp | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Karmine Corp | 47c | 52.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Karmine Corp | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d20…ca2abacked GIANTX | 54c | 43.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Karmine Corp | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Karmine Corp | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17fc…daefbacked GIANTX | 54c | 28.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed GIANTX | 53c | 22.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Versus PlayoffsKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.