TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, GIANTX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$229,279
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$251,241

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,279 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x303b…53cabacked GIANTX1c48,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350342.9%1 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-84.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked GIANTX7c15,486$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.381,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked GIANTX13c10,124$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.1266437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Karmine Corp70c9,000$6,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,713.3626246.6%122 W · 140 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed GIANTX15c8,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf9…5b10backed GIANTX32c5,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.996238.7%24 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed GIANTX30c4,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.993,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d75…cf0bbacked GIANTX1c3,400$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191766.3%11 W · 165 L-0.5wins0.00per pick7cpaid-46.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked GIANTX9c3,381$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.771,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed GIANTX30c2,800$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84044047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed GIANTX12c2,700$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3261,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53e7…4704backed GIANTX15c2,605$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed GIANTX30c2,533$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.21,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8568…bc38backed GIANTX33c1,900$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.986216.1%10 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed GIANTX30c1,810$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9782352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed GIANTX12c1,800$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2187869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed GIANTX32c1,697$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.161,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Karmine Corp75c1,653$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.5953640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5419…fcb2backed Karmine Corp73c1,500$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4053357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed GIANTX29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4351,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ae…04b2backed Karmine Corp67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.546842.6%29 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66b2…0fdfbacked GIANTX35c1,443$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50031849.7%158 W · 160 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1090…3ad3backed Karmine Corp70c1,419$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.2511243.8%49 W · 63 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa50b…74b2backed Karmine Corp71c1,268$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.6110443.3%45 W · 59 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed GIANTX31c1,201$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.161,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Karmine Corp77c1,171$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.941,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x970a…6b89backed GIANTX9c1,128$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1241347.7%197 W · 216 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed GIANTX31c1,070$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3371,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Karmine Corp69c1,020$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.22,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf33c…4c38backed Karmine Corp69c1,000$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.0824065%156 W · 84 L+24.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Karmine Corp68c950$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3041,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2e3…f702backed GIANTX12c899.99$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1075547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df9…e49ebacked Karmine Corp68c855.01$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.767045.7%32 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed GIANTX13c800$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Karmine Corp69c780.2$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.861,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Karmine Corp68c734.97$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.191,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed GIANTX16c708.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4614145.4%64 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed GIANTX31c699.99$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21730050.3%151 W · 149 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed Karmine Corp69c688.86$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.5582554.8%452 W · 373 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked GIANTX14c600$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861,00949.2%496 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8e…156fbacked GIANTX30c582.27$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.6815731.2%49 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Karmine Corp72c562.39$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.191,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed GIANTX9c539.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.012,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Karmine Corp73c522$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.737345%168 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked GIANTX31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15595847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked GIANTX3c500$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9963352%329 W · 304 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4d1…3d4cbacked GIANTX17c489.83$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8430421.4%65 W · 239 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed GIANTX12c461.48$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.881,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff5e…9c6ebacked GIANTX10c419.78$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010422.1%23 W · 81 L-14.2wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-37.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Karmine Corp69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12495951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Karmine Corp72c395$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3443947.6%209 W · 230 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Karmine Corp67c306.06$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10171249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb24f…c638backed Karmine Corp73c305.11$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7320051.5%103 W · 97 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked GIANTX33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed GIANTX30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9016155.3%89 W · 72 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Karmine Corp69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9364453.9%347 W · 297 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Karmine Corp68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7178…8fb9backed Karmine Corp76c297.24$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2413057.7%75 W · 55 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Karmine Corp67c294.28$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1174949.7%372 W · 377 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Karmine Corp70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7146552.7%245 W · 220 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked GIANTX31c279$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.491,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x755d…37e7backed Karmine Corp68c276.47$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4715166.2%100 W · 51 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked GIANTX17c242.68$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5412042.5%51 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed GIANTX13c241.76$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2154944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb78…e7c8backed GIANTX33c224.24$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743826.3%10 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-36.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed GIANTX9c210$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.623624.6%58 W · 178 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8fb…d9d0backed GIANTX32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6410457.7%60 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Karmine Corp67c198$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3439749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x520e…d75abacked GIANTX25c187$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0628837.5%108 W · 180 L-16.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Karmine Corp67c186.24$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4652538.9%204 W · 321 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked GIANTX32c160$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.248143.2%208 W · 273 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73e8…7921backed Karmine Corp70c157.86$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.365667.9%38 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked GIANTX32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,18548.1%570 W · 615 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed GIANTX31c156$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3614650%73 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked GIANTX32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,02445%461 W · 563 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbd…4476backed Karmine Corp67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2525853.5%138 W · 120 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5024…b8bcbacked Karmine Corp67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2521255.2%117 W · 95 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb734…fc38backed Karmine Corp67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.257568%51 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd677…e2b5backed Karmine Corp68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.06666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed GIANTX14c143.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0557947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed Karmine Corp68c140.31$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.936260.5%219 W · 143 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f8b…a0cabacked GIANTX32c120$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.439832.7%130 W · 268 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a16…de20backed Karmine Corp69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.527455.8%153 W · 121 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed GIANTX31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a15…8323backed Karmine Corp69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde6e…7fa3backed GIANTX30c97.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2928552.6%150 W · 135 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Karmine Corp70c87.14$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1440347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f05…85c5backed Karmine Corp67c78.85$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0239861.8%246 W · 152 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79f8…a488backed Karmine Corp67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.632263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63fc…2929backed Karmine Corp68c73.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.041861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed Karmine Corp69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.461,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0106…0e63backed Karmine Corp70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4311954.6%65 W · 54 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b23…8af0backed Karmine Corp68c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.421448.6%104 W · 110 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Karmine Corp76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7965754.5%358 W · 299 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ed…7ab9backed GIANTX32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed GIANTX28c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.813961.2%85 W · 54 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed GIANTX18c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.834050%170 W · 170 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf006…bf1ebacked Karmine Corp68c53.82$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2269247%325 W · 367 L+1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed GIANTX29c50.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7275142.1%316 W · 435 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed GIANTX26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.924748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.