TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Pacers: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,309

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,309 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee17…b46ebacked Under52c17,698$9,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,179.614257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1d1…0139backed Under50c13,680$6,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,839.81862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd462…eaecbacked Under50c8,612$4,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,306.211330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-40.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Over48c6,240$2,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,244.828554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Over48c5,450$2,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,857.8524847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd104…6977backed Under50c4,891$2,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,445.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf922…6350backed Over50c4,653$2,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,326.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf93…80dbbacked Under50c4,510$2,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ec2…3732backed Over50c4,459$2,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,229.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2d…3590backed Over50c4,393$2,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,196.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fff…fa22backed Over50c4,362$2,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,181.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec9…c791backed Under50c4,317$2,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,158.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a8…2ed1backed Under50c4,245$2,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,122.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e20…5f26backed Under51c4,188$2,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,135.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28fb…1799backed Under50c4,183$2,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,091.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Over47c4,177$1,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,213.615141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6964…81c6backed Under50c4,039$2,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,019.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01d4…47a7backed Under50c4,004$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d67…4f14backed Under50c3,977$1,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,988.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f0…19f2backed Over50c3,911$1,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,955.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+62.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb43…b83abacked Over50c3,875$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,936.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07e9…d347backed Over50c3,821$1,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,910.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb14b…eff2backed Over50c3,811$1,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,905.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x788e…e8debacked Over50c3,759$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fbc…fc9cbacked Under51c3,750$1,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,912.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e8a…4b74backed Over50c3,700$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8502100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb91c…443bbacked Over49c3,682$1,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,877.82520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-59.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff7c…f13abacked Under50c3,593$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,796.51241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4426…ea88backed Over49c3,566$1,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,818.661050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3071…73b7backed Under50c3,500$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa847…c5f4backed Under51c3,496$1,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,782.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under46c3,343$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.074,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05c4…edc3backed Over50c3,338$1,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6692100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89cb…c01dbacked Over50c3,333$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8972…0321backed Under50c3,307$1,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,653.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e91…2ce1backed Over50c3,306$1,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08b6…0c4cbacked Under50c3,291$1,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,645.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…81d8backed Under50c3,227$1,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,613.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc21…bd75backed Under50c3,207$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,603.14250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23e0…9778backed Over50c3,188$1,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf9…ededbacked Under51c3,172$1,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f0…d618backed Over50c3,147$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,573.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01a5…d636backed Under51c3,128$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a8e…5ae8backed Over49c3,098$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.98988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.40per pick49cpaid+84.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xbe9f…2d7fbacked Over50c3,092$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x246f…4079backed Under50c3,082$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb97…f8cabacked Over50c3,075$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8a…1a00backed Under50c3,068$1,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4592…49b6backed Over50c3,058$1,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.781442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79bb…2db3backed Over49c3,024$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x390e…4fb7backed Over49c3,014$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.14742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Under53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59011741.9%49 W · 68 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Under55c2,975$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.3411653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0983…36e5backed Over49c2,970$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fe4…90c4backed Under50c2,929$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a50…3d78backed Over50c2,819$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92b5…3eefbacked Over50c2,764$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3821346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc49…4216backed Under50c2,698$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,34920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c2,611$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.599,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6077…ad46backed Over50c2,604$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.121553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over47c2,604$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.1430446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd248…3b58backed Over50c2,380$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.941136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c2,237$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.534,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Over47c2,164$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.8312151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5565…6448backed Over50c2,110$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.12944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x730f…952cbacked Over50c2,099$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.081566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over52c2,047$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.932,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4958…a146backed Over50c2,024$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.091323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-53.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x197b…a6b0backed Over50c2,023$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.291361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76b9…12e4backed Over50c2,013$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.371947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf98c…bf06backed Over44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.991861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+48.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a48…9f3ebacked Under56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.99650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c1,907$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.054,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c1,899$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.738,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f95…b08bbacked Under53c1,665$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.453250%16 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over54c1,650$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.631,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19cb…21fcbacked Under51c1,620$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over50c1,596$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.493,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff0b…befabacked Over51c1,452$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.614953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x59e1…d3bbbacked Over50c1,214$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.81825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-51.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over54c1,077$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.21,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50053951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9175…bd29backed Under53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.763060%18 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa182…03fabacked Over50c999.99$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5008949.4%44 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under54c998.85$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.0280737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over50c815$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40546258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Over46c800$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.2851753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under50c706.84$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.3258450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Under56c535.77$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011159.5%66 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under59c508.65$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006756.7%38 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c483.7$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.854,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under43c482.51$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.82,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0707…310abacked Over54c442.09$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.996746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over47c409.77$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.182,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Over47c402.13$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.1317349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2123,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.842845.1%193 W · 235 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under23c383.55$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.243,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.