NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Pacers: O/U 224.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x474f3c99d6c353b190ed06290e288e63dcb8e5112ad7b9ce527e93e36e482581

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $69,609

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,609 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Under	50c	6,528$3,253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,253.36	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over	54c	5,758$3,109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,648.68	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	46c	4,838$2,225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,225.26	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000.49	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa188…4d14backed Under	51c	3,066$1,564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,563.66	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab14…39bfbacked Over	49c	3,033$1,486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,546.83	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	50cpaid	+102%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0647…30fdbacked Under	51c	2,512$1,281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,281.12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9947…44e8backed Over	49c	2,500$1,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,275	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+98.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6a…f0cfbacked Over	49c	2,488$1,219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,268.88	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+98.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b84…cb15backed Over	49c	2,487$1,221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,265.63	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+98%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0b9…8e0cbacked Under	51c	2,479$1,264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,264.29	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e1e…4822backed Over	49c	2,469$1,210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,259.19	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x711b…2e4bbacked Over	49c	2,422$1,187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,235.22	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	50cpaid	+102%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67a6…cccfbacked Over	49c	2,398$1,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,222.98	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x309e…9a86backed Under	51c	2,367$1,207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,206.87	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa8a…b052backed Under	51c	2,366$1,207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,206.66	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f88…89d0backed Under	51c	2,229$1,137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,136.79	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b89…19dabacked Under	51c	2,206$1,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,125.06	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc74f…33e0backed Over	49c	2,203$1,079 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,123.53	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb05c…61f9backed Under	51c	2,200$1,122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,122	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc460…4f00backed Over	49c	2,199$1,078 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,121.49	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4873…dd33backed Under	51c	2,166$1,105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,104.66	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e3…f347backed Under	51c	2,131$1,087 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,086.81	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ec…9660backed Under	51c	2,097$1,069 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,069.47	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x922d…f1f2backed Under	51c	2,036$1,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,038.36	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29e1…0a8cbacked Over	49c	2,033$996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,037.19	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+98.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc605…041bbacked Over	49c	2,005$982 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,022.55	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	50cpaid	+102%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e3…60fbbacked Under	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd330…dc29backed Over	49c	1,923$942 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980.73	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x438f…edf0backed Over	49c	1,888$925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$962.88	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under	53c	1,871$991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$991.18	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x293e…5cacbacked Under	51c	1,855$954 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$954.38	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7211…cec2backed Under	51c	1,807$922 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$921.57	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x159f…dbd0backed Under	51c	1,788$912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$911.88	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc40…2f88backed Under	51c	1,775$905 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$905.25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bfa…7b9dbacked Over	49c	1,757$861 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$896.07	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd691…0c55backed Over	49c	1,756$860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$895.56	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb103…6648backed Under	51c	1,700$867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$867	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbce4…69afbacked Under	51c	1,688$861 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$860.88	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3831…8dfebacked Over	49c	1,655$811 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$844.05	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ec1…9063backed Over	49c	1,655$811 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$844.05	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	50cpaid	+102%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0d…8526backed Over	49c	1,622$795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$827.22	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	51cpaid	+98.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under	51c	1,510$775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$775.2	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x65ef…15e1backed Over	49c	1,466$718 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$747.66	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	50cpaid	+102%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97a1…2a48backed Over	49c	1,455$713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$742.05	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	50cpaid	+102%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f95…b08bbacked Under	53c	1,400$742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$741.7	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	47c	1,325$623 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$702.23	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over	54c	1,313$709 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$603.93	877	44.7%392 W · 485 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Over	49c	1,176$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$599.92	86	47.7%41 W · 45 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0707…310abacked Over	48c	1,071$514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$557.42	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd6…3388backed Under	51c	946$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.46	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over	46c	868.99$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$469.25	221	40.7%90 W · 131 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Over	47c	827.69$389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$438.94	233	48.9%114 W · 119 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	51c	500$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61ad…915dbacked Under	53c	377.93$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	48	50%24 W · 24 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over	47c	340.5$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.5	521	46.6%243 W · 278 L	-14.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	62c	321.47$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.61	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	54c	303.95$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.43	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over	48c	251.45$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.75	175	50.9%89 W · 86 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over	46c	234.54$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.65	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over	47c	212.77$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.77	434	47.5%206 W · 228 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	57c	191.82$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.97	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	54c	176.31$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.04	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	49c	164.46$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.42	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	51c	156.66$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.57	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over	72c	152.47$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.07	658	72.8%479 W · 179 L	+46.1wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under	28c	139.86$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.16	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	47c	134.05$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.57	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	53c	130.76$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.76	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	46c	122.35$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.07	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd448…f700backed Over	48c	104.38$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.38	109	53.2%58 W · 51 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed Over	64c	100$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	427	40.3%172 W · 255 L	-11.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c36…9433backed Under	55c	90.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	156	41.7%65 W · 91 L	-13.9wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over	46c	90$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.6	199	50.8%101 W · 98 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under	54c	79.82$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.02	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ec1…bfa6backed Over	69c	50$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.5	42	66.7%28 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	69cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Over	48c	42$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.84	327	47.4%155 W · 172 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over	48c	42$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.84	620	49%304 W · 316 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Over	48c	42$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.84	273	45.1%123 W · 150 L	-8.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Over	48c	42$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.84	329	47.4%156 W · 173 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Over	46c	38.31$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.59	107	43.9%47 W · 60 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over	46c	33$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.82	464	47.8%222 W · 242 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	54c	32$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.28	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	1,554	37.3%579 W · 975 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Over	49c	28.01$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.3	201	40.3%81 W · 120 L	-8.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed Over	50c	25.81$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.93	97	60.8%59 W · 38 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	42c	24$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.92	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3601…cbd5backed Over	50c	22.4$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.22	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2d8…0806backed Under	55c	21.05$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.58	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac66…5c02backed Under	53c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcc2…8c9abacked Over	54c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-4.2wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa950…d92ebacked Under	54c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Suns vs. Pacers: O/U 224.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event