NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe722824e2fdbbeb0567ea41b561855fb786e4c609972f9383d676ea528915ec2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Suns, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $971,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $971,466 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Suns | 49c | 668,907$328,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340,318.48 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pacers | 51c | 519,039$264,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264,706.65 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Suns | 49c | 106,196$51,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,255.15 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pacers | 50c | 45,537$22,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,768.37 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Pacers | 50c | 39,000$19,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,500 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Pacers | 51c | 29,412$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Suns | 49c | 27,459$13,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,003.98 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Pacers | 51c | 23,547$12,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,009.06 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers | 54c | 16,874$9,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,091.9 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Pacers | 51c | 16,863$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,600 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Pacers | 51c | 16,306$8,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,316.06 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…9f3fbacked Pacers | 51c | 14,186$7,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,235 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Suns | 50c | 13,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Pacers | 50c | 11,481$5,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,740.57 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pacers | 52c | 10,596$5,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,507.27 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Suns | 47c | 10,313$4,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,455.12 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Suns | 46c | 9,543$4,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,160.87 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Pacers | 51c | 8,629$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Pacers | 51c | 8,590$4,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,380.95 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Pacers | 51c | 8,359$4,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,263 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Pacers | 51c | 7,842$3,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,998 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Pacers | 51c | 6,863$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ced…0938backed Pacers | 51c | 6,441$3,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,285 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Suns | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers | 52c | 5,779$3,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,017.35 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Pacers | 51c | 5,715$2,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.65 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Pacers | 51c | 5,343$2,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,725 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Pacers | 50c | 5,030$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,514.7 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…ca09backed Suns | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Pacers | 55c | 4,726$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.89 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Pacers | 51c | 4,394$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Suns | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.82 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…a6c5backed Pacers | 51c | 4,078$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Suns | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Suns | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Pacers | 51c | 3,923$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Pacers | 54c | 3,758$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.33 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pacers | 51c | 3,403$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.62 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Suns | 46c | 3,140$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.6 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Suns | 46c | 3,131$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.4 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Suns | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Pacers | 55c | 2,975$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.69 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns | 47c | 2,908$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.88 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Pacers | 52c | 2,698$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.02 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Pacers | 56c | 2,694$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.94 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Pacers | 51c | 2,627$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pacers | 51c | 2,553$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.85 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934e…e7c0backed Pacers | 51c | 2,343$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Suns | 48c | 2,156$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.42 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Pacers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502c…4c26backed Pacers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Pacers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Pacers | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Pacers | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…a339backed Pacers | 50c | 1,814$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.12 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Suns | 49c | 1,775$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.09 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pacers | 51c | 1,765$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.45 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ac…346fbacked Pacers | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -61%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pacers | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.82 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc49…4216backed Pacers | 53c | 1,580$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…f8cabacked Pacers | 53c | 1,530$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Suns | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5200…08f9backed Pacers | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6e…7fccbacked Pacers | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Suns | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.98 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Pacers | 51c | 1,475$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pacers | 50c | 1,470$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.37 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Pacers | 50c | 1,391$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.74 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pacers | 51c | 1,332$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.37 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Suns | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pacers | 49c | 1,143$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.07 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Suns | 49c | 1,127$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.59 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Suns | 45c | 1,110$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.43 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Pacers | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Pacers | 54c | 1,040$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.6 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacers | 52c | 1,036$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Suns | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Pacers | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Pacers | 51c | 979.55$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Pacers | 56c | 893.06$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pacers | 49c | 891.54$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.85 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Suns | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Suns | 48c | 656.36$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.96 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Pacers | 54c | 630.65$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.55 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Suns | 46c | 600.42$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.34 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787c…5635backed Pacers | 50c | 557.1$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…4610backed Suns | 46c | 543.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.62 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Suns | 48c | 520$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.29 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Pacers | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…59e4backed Suns | 50c | 500$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.5 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Suns | 50c | 500$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.5 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Pacers | 54c | 499.5$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.42 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Pacers | 55c | 491.19$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Pacers | 55c | 455.37$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed Suns | 45c | 414.63$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.46 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Suns | 49c | 408.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.83 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Suns | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Pacers | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 235 | 39.1%92 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…855fbacked Suns | 50c | 380.78$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.77 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…f13abacked Suns | 47c | 380$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-4.5)Suns won
- Aaron Nesmith: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-8.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. PacersSuns won
- Suns vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Suns vs. Pacers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Suns vs. Pacers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Suns vs. Pacers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Suns vs. Pacers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Suns vs. Pacers: O/U 225.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.