TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Pacers: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$184,736

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,736 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1bc0…4429backed Under51c88,491$45,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,130.1148343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c86,782$42,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,260.091,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over49c15,000$7,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,649.931,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under52c11,000$5,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,719.9958449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under52c7,000$3,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,639.981,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Over48c5,036$2,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,618.829352.6%154 W · 139 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over48c4,682$2,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,438.71,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Under52c4,570$2,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,363.2314245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under51c4,180$2,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,131.81,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over48c3,813$1,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,966.072,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd3…7c25backed Under48c3,768$1,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,808.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c4…5b85backed Over52c3,655$1,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,754.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x447b…3213backed Over52c3,325$1,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,596333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe395…172dbacked Under48c3,212$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,541.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1be…75dbbacked Over51c2,978$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dc5…807cbacked Under49c2,825$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,384.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x026a…1225backed Under49c2,746$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.5420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x780d…5790backed Over51c2,593$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.572100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e1e…4822backed Over51c2,465$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.852100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67a6…cccfbacked Over51c2,368$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Over48c2,304$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.2719445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc460…4f00backed Under49c2,263$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.87250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc74f…33e0backed Under49c2,250$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b89…19dabacked Under49c2,166$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.3420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f88…89d0backed Over51c2,102$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e3…f347backed Under49c2,036$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over48c2,021$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.0937747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd330…dc29backed Over51c1,903$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.472100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7211…cec2backed Under49c1,756$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bfa…7b9dbacked Over51c1,733$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.172100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c1,707$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.472,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under51c1,531$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78150754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c1,433$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.128,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under51c1,275$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.491,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over48c1,225$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.152,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17ff…d7afbacked Over50c1,209$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.882450%12 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under50c1,170$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.0621653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1779…eef2backed Under5c1,112$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5810936.7%40 W · 69 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under52c1,073$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.034,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c1,035$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.879,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under49c999.99$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49080737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c799.98$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.9984342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Over51c623.53$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.5317349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0b9…8e0cbacked Under49c612$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07d8…9f3fbacked Over48c604.17$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.173240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93ec…9660backed Over51c512$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9030…cf12backed Under52c478.77$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.512046.7%56 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under39c458.33$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.5922140.7%90 W · 131 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under53c442.45$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.0643544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Over48c434.59$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.7523348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Under52c433.92$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.6476250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over49c428.8$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.983,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over51c408.63$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.2317550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ced…0938backed Under53c373.58$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1981145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0707…310abacked Under50c270.75$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.776746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d1…c15ebacked Under52c217.51$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.035160.8%31 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over48c212.01$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.091,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10245146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014156.7%80 W · 61 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017353.2%92 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under52c182.2$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.741,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under52c177$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0453945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72b2…d03abacked Under53c168.22$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.971650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under51c163.32$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2978648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaad…c739backed Under51c158.49$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.296248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under52c140$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7459650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc539…ca4ebacked Under52c115.58$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605143.1%22 W · 29 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-25.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c109.87$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.624,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over51c105.7$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.141,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over51c105.49$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.692,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1766046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under52c104$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.982,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028243.3%122 W · 160 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5045445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8458…b67abacked Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509844.9%44 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03e6…24e6backed Under52c95.13$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.379841.8%41 W · 57 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48aa…2eeebacked Under52c93.06$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.39441.5%39 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over49c91.9$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.923657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Under51c88.49$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1362844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under51c88.24$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4518853.7%101 W · 87 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe523…c6afbacked Under52c83.1$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1315441.6%64 W · 90 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over73c81.56$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0265872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a8b…6119backed Under53c69.68$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.866844.1%30 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb706…c2adbacked Under53c68.62$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0920641.7%86 W · 120 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bc…a4c6backed Over49c61.21$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.213464.7%22 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc7…908dbacked Over52c57.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5516650%83 W · 83 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca32…47f0backed Under52c56.17$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.177042.9%30 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Under54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3035844.1%158 W · 200 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0541052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ec1…bfa6backed Over70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154266.7%28 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over48c47.75$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8335749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2e6…c602backed Under53c47.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…08bbbacked Under52c43.94$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.858744.8%39 W · 48 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.422044.5%98 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Under51c38.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.426825%17 W · 51 L-12.6wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-49.3%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Over50c36.91$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5525651.6%132 W · 124 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdd1…ae72backed Under51c31.37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1614951.7%77 W · 72 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.