TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-15.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$795,530

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $795,530 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 795 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Nets51c34,615$17,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,595.871,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb83e…a7d7backed Pistons47c21,951$10,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,634.034100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7686…122ebacked Pistons47c21,589$10,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,442.174100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Nets52c19,997$10,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,398.6838253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6d5…c97dbacked Nets53c19,594$10,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,384.76475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+54.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5cb…7e2fbacked Nets53c19,551$10,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,362.03475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+55.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ad4…25e6backed Pistons47c19,275$9,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,215.754100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8368…def4backed Pistons47c18,487$8,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,798.114100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe533…510dbacked Pistons47c18,383$8,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,742.991172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.31per pick41cpaid+44.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe8b7…ac9fbacked Pistons47c18,332$8,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,715.965100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0054…7481backed Pistons47c18,220$8,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,656.66100%6 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xae5f…6659backed Nets53c16,141$8,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,554.73475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Pistons48c16,034$7,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,337.8724744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa65f…b4ffbacked Nets53c14,624$7,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,750.72475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x557a…16f6backed Nets53c13,076$6,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,930.28785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+70.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2484…68e2backed Nets53c12,608$6,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,682.24650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92eb…f3f0backed Nets53c12,296$6,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,516.88580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+64.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x877e…ea06backed Pistons47c11,868$5,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,290.04683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+64.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e84…9809backed Nets53c11,420$6,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,052.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44db…14aabacked Nets53c11,415$6,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,049.95666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Nets50c11,309$5,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,654.519645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd12…6d68backed Nets53c10,733$5,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,688.49560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf29c…5ba0backed Nets53c10,650$5,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,644.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+42.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77d2…22fcbacked Nets53c10,215$5,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,413.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Nets52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.671,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe09c…b3f2backed Pistons47c9,824$4,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,206.72666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84b1…6ac3backed Nets53c9,799$5,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,193.47666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9871…369bbacked Pistons47c9,656$4,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,117.686100%6 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x89f0…c552backed Pistons47c9,560$4,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,066.8683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+69.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84b9…985abacked Pistons47c9,415$4,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,989.95666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18f…e335backed Pistons47c9,341$4,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,950.735100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xadbf…ff7cbacked Nets53c9,339$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,949.67757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf2…c95fbacked Nets53c9,060$4,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,801.8862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Pistons48c9,009$4,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,684.7648343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7e7…f957backed Pistons47c8,804$4,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,666.125100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2bd1…1e78backed Pistons47c8,764$4,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,644.92683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+67%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c63…87dabacked Nets53c8,554$4,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,533.62560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb840…3859backed Pistons47c8,547$4,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,529.917100%7 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa41f…d4cebacked Nets53c8,528$4,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,519.84666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51c3…459fbacked Pistons48c8,333$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,333.33771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+46%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets51c8,079$4,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,097.774,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7294…41c1backed Nets53c7,882$4,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,177.46560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed77…c42dbacked Nets53c7,803$4,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,135.59580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8505…a181backed Pistons47c7,523$3,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,987.195100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8222…035cbacked Pistons47c7,377$3,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,909.815100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd42a…2e15backed Pistons47c7,245$3,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,839.85666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ec…e112backed Nets53c7,241$3,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,837.73666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d6…bcccbacked Pistons47c6,832$3,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,620.96580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+65%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2680…73cdbacked Pistons47c6,793$3,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,600.29771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+43.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd935…629ebacked Nets53c6,672$3,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,536.16771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+43.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x998d…cfdbbacked Pistons47c6,510$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,450.3666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+38.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b16…3fbcbacked Nets53c6,391$3,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,387.23560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Nets52c6,381$3,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,318.11,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Pistons49c6,097$2,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,110.051,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Pistons50c6,072$3,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,025.3369149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb760…c794backed Pistons47c5,991$2,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,175.23666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe57c…018fbacked Nets53c5,680$3,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,010.4875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x23b6…3eeebacked Nets53c5,666$3,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,002.983046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdac4…8d22backed Nets53c5,570$2,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,952.1650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b8b…894dbacked Pistons47c5,461$2,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,894.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Pistons49c5,423$2,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,780.4831643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7b1…0105backed Pistons47c5,417$2,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,871.013100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x34ae…2a54backed Nets53c5,417$2,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,871.01540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f6e…8e15backed Nets53c5,337$2,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,828.61450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Pistons51c5,294$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,594.1218349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Pistons49c5,283$2,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,694.2687451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b13…bb38backed Pistons47c5,223$2,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,768.193100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ed0…a9c5backed Pistons48c5,206$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,707.273941%16 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5146…d204backed Nets53c5,195$2,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,753.35966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x251d…e352backed Pistons47c5,183$2,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,746.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2aa…2a91backed Pistons47c5,174$2,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,742.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a90…4226backed Nets53c5,147$2,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,727.91560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c3e…62c3backed Pistons47c5,102$2,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,704.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7857…3268backed Pistons47c5,076$2,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,690.283100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x638d…96f2backed Pistons47c5,072$2,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,688.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf466…465fbacked Pistons47c5,021$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,661.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7506…c202backed Pistons47c4,894$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,593.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5df…d62cbacked Nets49c4,881$2,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,391.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4779…1ddbbacked Nets53c4,840$2,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,565.2580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+62.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f84…add3backed Pistons47c4,824$2,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,556.72475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+56.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c3f…fdd5backed Pistons47c4,786$2,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,536.585100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd725…bd22backed Pistons47c4,777$2,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,531.815100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0647…9151backed Pistons47c4,770$2,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,528.1475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ab8…4812backed Pistons47c4,730$2,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,506.95100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde03…01bebacked Nets53c4,689$2,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,485.17771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+46.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaa8…20a0backed Pistons47c4,636$2,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,457.081566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+33.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x02c0…faa4backed Pistons47c4,611$2,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,443.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18ec…e045backed Nets53c4,598$2,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,436.94862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec8e…2aa3backed Nets53c4,585$2,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,430.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce4…5538backed Nets53c4,545$2,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,408.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa62d…57b7backed Nets53c4,513$2,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,391.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Pistons48c4,485$2,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,325.8734854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b3…7e3cbacked Nets53c4,479$2,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,373.87250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122f…ffc7backed Nets53c4,451$2,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.03250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed32…babebacked Pistons47c4,449$2,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,357.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c47…8b23backed Nets53c4,447$2,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,356.91450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4b9…25f3backed Nets53c4,425$2,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,345.25757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c15…4443backed Nets53c4,419$2,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,342.07250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae7c…9830backed Pistons47c4,405$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,334.65862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8eb5…2d60backed Nets53c4,310$2,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,284.3560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.