NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Nets: O/U 215.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ca24157d79e88f5dd514599c00d945675ca666386657e7d587514c2daa06f25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,592 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Under | 47c | 974.94$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.2 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 825.42$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.07 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…abd3backed Over | 56c | 513.18$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.38 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 55c | 449.03$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.06 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 54c | 385$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.1 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 309.25$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.07 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Under | 45c | 299.03$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.56 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 258.72$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.19 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 235$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.45 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…b151backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Over | 54c | 137.06$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 114.7$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 40c | 100.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Under | 45c | 83.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 53c | 75.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 58.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Over | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 50c | 44.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 42c | 42.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfad…052ebacked Over | 54c | 36.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa53…28debacked Over | 54c | 29.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…7d08backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Nets: O/U 215.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Nicolas Claxton: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Nicolas Claxton: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Pistons vs. NetsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Nets: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Nets: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Nets: O/U 216.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Nets: O/U 217.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Nets: O/U 218.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Nets: O/U 219.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Nets: O/U 220.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Nets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Nets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Nets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-16.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-18.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-20.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-33.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-34.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-37.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-38.5)Nets won
- Spread: Pistons (-39.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.