NHL · resolved market
KHL: Sibir Novosibirsk vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3ae4a49c4cf25ca1a57892adef3963cf82cdc926ba54c31b954c904d18cb438
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Neftekhimik Nizhnekamskof Sibir Novosibirsk, Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,189,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,189,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,189,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7367…007fbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 48c | 590,200$283,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306,904 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a06…e901backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 52c | 590,110$306,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306,857.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9726…892ebacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 51c | 2,164$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…3eefbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 49c | 2,164$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…c560backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 52c | 1,678$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d8…fb52backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 48c | 1,396$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014a…8aefbacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 55c | 892$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…8404backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 45c | 891$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 55c | 686.72$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.34 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 46c | 419.1$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.34 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…ba05backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 50c | 418.11$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.11 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…e0babacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 54c | 416.01$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…6a91backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 50c | 384$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 44c | 318.03$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.1 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 51c | 310$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 51c | 240.23$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.9 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 49c | 206.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 47c | 145.47$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.1 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 66c | 132.77$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.57 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 43c | 110$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82ed…a228backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…0605backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 54c | 55.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…a8b5backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 63c | 46.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 39c | 44.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1411…ab6ebacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 34c | 34.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 54c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 53c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x559f…04a4backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 54c | 31.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 46c | 28.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 44c | 26.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 60c | 21.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e3…7b48backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4c…2a53backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.37per pick | 45cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.