Serie A · resolved market
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4aea91593850aca7ee66b14536fee23e34db240fdab2f5c0bf71fcf86c09515c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AC Milanof AC Milan, US Cremonese
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1d1…0139backed US Cremonese | 56c | 11,572$6,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,480.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…3eefbacked AC Milan | 44c | 5,222$2,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,924.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 43cpaid | +135.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…6448backed AC Milan | 44c | 5,215$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked AC Milan | 40c | 4,948$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,968.8 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed US Cremonese | 75c | 4,726$3,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,559.62 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked US Cremonese | 56c | 3,627$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.1 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked US Cremonese | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed AC Milan | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…a6b0backed AC Milan | 44c | 2,373$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…ad46backed US Cremonese | 56c | 1,237$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed AC Milan | 26c | 1,145$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.15 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked AC Milan | 31c | 1,003$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.81 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed AC Milan | 46c | 771.74$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.74 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…9399backed AC Milan | 44c | 770$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…d6d1backed US Cremonese | 57c | 750$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked AC Milan | 18c | 743.52$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.24 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4053…91b9backed US Cremonese | 57c | 720$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed US Cremonese | 56c | 708.46$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed US Cremonese | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…65a5backed AC Milan | 44c | 700$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3287…3dc3backed AC Milan | 44c | 700$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed AC Milan | 47c | 588.09$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.4 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed AC Milan | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed US Cremonese | 15c | 465$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked US Cremonese | 62c | 352.55$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed AC Milan | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed AC Milan | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked US Cremonese | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked AC Milan | 43c | 300$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked AC Milan | 44c | 281.82$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.82 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed US Cremonese | 60c | 270$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked US Cremonese | 22c | 267.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked AC Milan | 44c | 252.27$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.27 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed US Cremonese | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed US Cremonese | 56c | 249.6$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.2 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked US Cremonese | 57c | 237.2$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed US Cremonese | 60c | 230$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked AC Milan | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed US Cremonese | 60c | 225$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed AC Milan | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.22 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed AC Milan | 24c | 220.59$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.41 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed AC Milan | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked AC Milan | 38c | 200$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…9a6cbacked US Cremonese | 24c | 193$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +448.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked AC Milan | 42c | 183.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked AC Milan | 43c | 183.46$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.76 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed AC Milan | 25c | 180$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed US Cremonese | 60c | 180$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed US Cremonese | 60c | 180$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed US Cremonese | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked AC Milan | 29c | 175.66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.72 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed AC Milan | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked AC Milan | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed AC Milan | 65c | 156.72$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked US Cremonese | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…456fbacked AC Milan | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed AC Milan | 46c | 140.04$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…27d6backed US Cremonese | 73c | 131.78$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked US Cremonese | 33c | 120$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed US Cremonese | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed US Cremonese | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed US Cremonese | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 124 | 53.2%66 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked US Cremonese | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked US Cremonese | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed US Cremonese | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked US Cremonese | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed US Cremonese | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed US Cremonese | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked US Cremonese | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed AC Milan | 46c | 119.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86c3…2020backed AC Milan | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked US Cremonese | 58c | 103.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked AC Milan | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -6.1wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed US Cremonese | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked US Cremonese | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked US Cremonese | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed US Cremonese | 59c | 97.26$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed AC Milan | 46c | 82.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked US Cremonese | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked AC Milan | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked US Cremonese | 79c | 72.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.27 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed AC Milan | 26c | 69.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa20…7ec5backed AC Milan | 44c | 68.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked AC Milan | 27c | 64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…1b40backed AC Milan | 44c | 63.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 27cpaid | +74%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed US Cremonese | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed US Cremonese | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed AC Milan | 31c | 55.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 162 | 19.1%31 W · 131 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…c7a6backed AC Milan | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed AC Milan | 39c | 51.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked US Cremonese | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed US Cremonese | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed US Cremonese | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21f…1c9cbacked US Cremonese | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed US Cremonese | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…7df5backed US Cremonese | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked AC Milan | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed US Cremonese | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed AC Milan | 65c | 38.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed AC Milan | 30c | 36.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 181 | 25.4%46 W · 135 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)this page
- Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)US Cremonese won
- Spread: US Cremonese (-1.5)AC Milan won
- Spread: US Cremonese (-2.5)AC Milan won
- US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5Under won
- US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.