Serie A · resolved market
US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcebe9c6dfaadd57ccf4817082fac9461e7066fd1648ddccea72af1a02731b2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 2,346$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.35 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 53c | 1,306$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.92 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 35c | 1,029$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.29 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 53c | 816.07$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.39 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…a210backed Yes | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 46c | 511.85$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.67 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…4488backed No | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…fbdabacked Yes | 49c | 421.53$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed No | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 47c | 340.69$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.73 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed No | 53c | 247.16$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 43c | 233$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.06 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 48c | 219.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +65%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +44%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…102cbacked Yes | 49c | 216.33$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked No | 56c | 216.07$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 49c | 205.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9117…cecabacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 51c | 179.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 54c | 145.3$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.55 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 49c | 120.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…2de8backed Yes | 46c | 112.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 51c | 112.83$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 50c | 77.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 45c | 77.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 52c | 56.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 54.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 49c | 51.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed No | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed No | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed No | 55c | 42.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b378backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 74c | 37.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed No | 52c | 30.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…687ebacked No | 54c | 29.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…6e69backed No | 54c | 28.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5955…f86ebacked No | 54c | 28.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked No | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +9.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked No | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6a…089bbacked No | 54c | 26.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 61c | 17.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)AC Milan won
- Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)US Cremonese won
- Spread: US Cremonese (-1.5)AC Milan won
- Spread: US Cremonese (-2.5)AC Milan won
- US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5Under won
- US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.