TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,881
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,143

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,881 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x916f…53babacked Over53c36,508$19,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,349.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under47c10,638$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,638.292250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under46c6,558$3,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,551.3333148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over54c6,168$3,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,307.5920544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under45c5,017$2,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,759.474445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under47c4,171$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,210.759952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c4,065$1,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,119.242,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Under44c3,509$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,965.044553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under47c2,600$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,37845547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under47c2,447$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.82552%13 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over8c2,226$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.211,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Under47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.651650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under45c1,831$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.5198544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x203b…acd1backed Under48c1,281$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.36911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-76.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over52c1,210$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.13167.7%21 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under45c1,200$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.2140549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over55c1,182$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65033357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under51c1,068$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.9234643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over23c883.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick31cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over53c787.94$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.613040%12 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Over56c751.68$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.941747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc9…18c4backed Over56c574.23$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.57757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Under48c564.58$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.58742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under43c554.99$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.357945.6%36 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b22…a210backed Over47c531.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over58c517.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e24…c746backed Over52c505.77$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Under48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2607749.4%38 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Under45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.444245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Under47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.53633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2c8…d506backed Over52c392.31$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over56c370$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.22458.3%14 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over56c354.01$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Over51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1534242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfb0…4488backed Under67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.511163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Under44c297.72$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.72862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over57c280.04$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.623638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over52c269.23$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14011348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under53c248.5$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.7993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over52c234.33$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.853847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11416251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Under43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1145236.5%19 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1027740.3%31 W · 46 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e87…4536backed Over51c194.9$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef48…3448backed Under49c194.67$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5802…c68bbacked Under49c190.65$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1659…a47bbacked Over51c190.42$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.684973.5%36 W · 13 L+9.4wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+39.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002650%13 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under47c179.98$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.399045.6%41 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over9c133.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9814936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca70…85debacked Over56c130$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25ef…8e6fbacked Over39c129.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501225%3 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.433144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over52c114.83$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2738739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014231%44 W · 98 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.383351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked Under76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick61cpaid+52.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4126747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c16…c36fbacked Over20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201747.1%8 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.23per pick24cpaid+44.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259440.4%38 W · 56 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under46c90.79$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.186245.2%28 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under46c89.88$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.529750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Under43c80.7$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465028%14 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402272.7%16 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee9…d29abacked Over57c79.77$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under42c77.82$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1440447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Under44c77$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.121936.8%7 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4792…3f1fbacked Over53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f99…32bbbacked Over57c74.26$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed Over58c69.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.14425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-67.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Under48c69$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8811349.6%56 W · 57 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68a7…48f7backed Over57c61.19$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.234553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157848.7%38 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf3f2…fe1bbacked Over57c54.39$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011955.5%66 W · 53 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+25.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204438.6%17 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Under48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.513350.4%67 W · 66 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2949…4cc8backed Over57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-76.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x34f1…5fd6backed Over39c48.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc87…d938backed Over42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Under44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.452955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Under44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.453447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99c3…c8b4backed Under75c44.4$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under47c43.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.81952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Under47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.552650%13 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under46c42.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.869857.1%56 W · 42 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under46c42.02$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8611150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under47c41$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6565254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd938…f16bbacked Over57c37.05$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb702…b2a2backed Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under45c34.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3321251.9%110 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecb5…d2aabacked Under50c34.58$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0b…5786backed Over52c33.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under48c31.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2541854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Under43c29.88$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.033756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.