Serie A · resolved market
US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x103d5725575cf66d18c9073b711811fcec8db4a83944c6aaa68db43a6e85ba9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x916f…53babacked Over | 53c | 36,508$19,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,349.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,638.29 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 6,558$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,551.33 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 54c | 6,168$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,307.59 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 45c | 5,017$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.47 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 47c | 4,171$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.75 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 4,065$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.24 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Under | 44c | 3,509$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.04 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 47c | 2,600$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 47c | 2,447$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.8 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 8c | 2,226$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.21 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.65 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 1,831$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.51 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Under | 48c | 1,281$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.36 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 52c | 1,210$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.1 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 45c | 1,200$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.21 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 55c | 1,182$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 51c | 1,068$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.92 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…0beebacked Over | 23c | 883.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 53c | 787.94$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.61 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Over | 56c | 751.68$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.94 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…18c4backed Over | 56c | 574.23$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…65a5backed Under | 48c | 564.58$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 43c | 554.99$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.35 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…a210backed Over | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 58c | 517.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e24…c746backed Over | 52c | 505.77$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Under | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Over | 52c | 392.31$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 56c | 370$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.2 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 56c | 354.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…4488backed Under | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Under | 44c | 297.72$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 57c | 280.04$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.62 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 52c | 269.23$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 248.5$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.79 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 52c | 234.33$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.85 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e87…4536backed Over | 51c | 194.9$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef48…3448backed Under | 49c | 194.67$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5802…c68bbacked Under | 49c | 190.65$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1659…a47bbacked Over | 51c | 190.42$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 47c | 179.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.39 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 9c | 133.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 149 | 36.2%54 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca70…85debacked Over | 56c | 130$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ef…8e6fbacked Over | 39c | 129.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 52c | 114.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Under | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f03…dc32backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 24cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 46c | 90.79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.18 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 46c | 89.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 43c | 80.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee9…d29abacked Over | 57c | 79.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 42c | 77.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Under | 44c | 77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4792…3f1fbacked Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f99…32bbbacked Over | 57c | 74.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Over | 58c | 69.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Under | 48c | 69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a7…48f7backed Over | 57c | 61.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f2…fe1bbacked Over | 57c | 54.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…4cc8backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34f1…5fd6backed Over | 39c | 48.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d938backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c3…c8b4backed Under | 75c | 44.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under | 47c | 43.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 46c | 42.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 46c | 42.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 47c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd938…f16bbacked Over | 57c | 37.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…b2a2backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 45c | 34.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb5…d2aabacked Under | 50c | 34.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0b…5786backed Over | 52c | 33.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 48c | 31.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 43c | 29.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)AC Milan won
- Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)US Cremonese won
- Spread: US Cremonese (-1.5)AC Milan won
- Spread: US Cremonese (-2.5)AC Milan won
- US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.