TailMyPicks
Market

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,081
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,461

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,081 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x437c…f458backed Over64c9,129$5,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,840.0526246.6%122 W · 140 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Under36c6,206$2,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,973.141,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under38c6,120$2,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,794.5641644.2%184 W · 232 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under49c3,399$1,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,728.771,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Under36c1,667$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.678252.4%43 W · 39 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over72c1,059$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.5392354.3%501 W · 422 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Over57c925.99$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.3839851.8%206 W · 192 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under37c707.08$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.4685046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16e1…d17abacked Over65c675.52$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.094254.8%23 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Over48c671$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.0853640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Over46c530$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.87944.3%35 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92b5…3eefbacked Under71c529.81$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.641855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee9f…b134backed Over29c529.81$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.64933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-38.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under36c526$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.6424529.8%73 W · 172 L-0.9wins0.00per pick30cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Under36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32054129.9%162 W · 379 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed Over63c473.7$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019559.5%116 W · 79 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-8.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under36c468.29$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.718549.7%92 W · 93 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under27c442.84$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.8417039.4%67 W · 103 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Under38c426$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.8839749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under37c409.87$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.2217342.2%73 W · 100 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c3b…b2a1backed Over18c260$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-69.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Over20c219.78$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9221233%70 W · 142 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf83b…167dbacked Over42c206$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.513042.3%55 W · 75 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d89…d647backed Over46c200$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b2…0fdfbacked Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10431949.8%159 W · 160 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88cd…c94abacked Over63c182.87$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Over65c178.68$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.7816842.9%72 W · 96 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Under65c161$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9425952.1%135 W · 124 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5320…f3b2backed Under36c158.98$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7413040%52 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over66c155$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7526940.5%109 W · 160 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf25…6f5bbacked Over64c126$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd501…b86ebacked Over55c122.91$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.612446%57 W · 67 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Over64c110$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.460053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38a4…d83bbacked Over62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622972.4%21 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed Under69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4414562.1%90 W · 55 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Over65c92.46$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606946.4%32 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe295…64ebbacked Over72c89.95$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.771471.4%10 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick76cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x430f…5c08backed Over48c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.67640.8%31 W · 45 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Over63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047951.4%246 W · 233 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1121…7444backed Over48c75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+69.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under42c70.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2721350.2%107 W · 106 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Under66c70.66$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9354354.9%298 W · 245 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc1…9932backed Over65c69.23$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4511937%44 W · 75 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3817…0399backed Under36c65.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.03757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x520e…d75abacked Over52c61.16$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.128837.5%108 W · 180 L-16.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1307…69ccbacked Under42c54.76$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Under68c54.41$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.414456.8%25 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Under37c52.22$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.751,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8efe…5b1cbacked Under41c51.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+145.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed Under36c50.89$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.423237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa366…886fbacked Under59c50.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.71757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e16…981ebacked Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26156.7%1 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick26cpaid-84.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1668…9ee5backed Under42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd480…799ebacked Over64c47.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307342.5%31 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Under73c43.49$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8934742.1%146 W · 201 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b2…9ac1backed Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016941.4%70 W · 99 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a79…6acebacked Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202450%12 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under44c40.8$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7259952.8%316 W · 283 L-3.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf343…e069backed Under68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.81050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1767…3469backed Under42c39.57$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over31c33.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.561,73029.5%510 W · 1,220 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Under39c31.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0770443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under36c31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.841,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80f9…3ab9backed Over64c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.221146%97 W · 114 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a87…6548backed Under66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76b3…3ffebacked Over65c28$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.24847.9%23 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+76.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbcff…2fdfbacked Over57c26.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Over43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7518350.8%93 W · 90 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd011…ac5dbacked Over64c23.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Under67c20.97$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8764846.5%301 W · 347 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab2…5735backed Over65c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136546.2%30 W · 35 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b80…93d5backed Over64c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.81030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-55.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.