TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$325,439

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $325,439 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93ab…9723backed Under52c91,270$47,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,809.6860351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over48c82,611$39,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,653.2848352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under52c70,000$36,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,599.951,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Over48c19,960$9,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,580.824045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under52c18,586$9,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,970.624,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over50c17,808$8,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,932.0751354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under52c15,000$7,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,149.991,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over48c13,949$6,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,695.317550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c10,103$4,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,789.879,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fda…b798backed Under50c10,000$5,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,989.272100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,70048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a6c…8610backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over47c9,718$4,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,569.632,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca6e…6dfcbacked Over48c9,284$4,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,456.1830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Over48c8,356$4,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,011.0317144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over48c8,343$4,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,004.6431643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd071…9047backed Over48c7,500$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,600922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick53cpaid-56.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5083…9cbdbacked Under54c7,118$3,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,274.161040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over48c6,250$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Over47c5,870$2,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,758.922143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Over48c5,437$2,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,609.619445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over48c5,435$2,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60970246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d3…a655backed Over48c5,417$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under52c4,632$2,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,223.3969149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec1c…8bc7backed Over48c4,502$2,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under54c4,269$2,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,963.742,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa368…d116backed Over48c4,165$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.422839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5565…6448backed Over46c4,063$1,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.06944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92b5…3eefbacked Over47c4,012$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,871.541346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over48c3,710$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,77518241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c3,526$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,652.774,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over48c3,375$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6201,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over48c3,318$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.042,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Under53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,41021446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4401,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over48c2,896$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39030446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under51c2,838$1,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.0280737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over42c2,660$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.044,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Over48c2,558$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22815141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Over48c2,083$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.8310847.2%51 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed Over48c2,076$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004643.5%20 W · 26 L-6.9wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-26%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Under53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94041553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under50c1,990$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99525248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under45c1,905$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.922,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Under53c1,825$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.9241947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.141,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over47c1,446$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.656939.1%27 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over7c1,430$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.231,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Over55c1,175$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.7947856.5%270 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under62c1,163$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.743,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc935…2579backed Under67c1,108$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.646872.1%49 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under58c1,098$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4611,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9726…892ebacked Under54c1,014$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.44862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c1,008$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.715,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4909742.3%41 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under52c863.97$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.7154443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under50c856.67$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9326638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over48c800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38484342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over50c727$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.421,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under52c711.57$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.551,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under54c666.67$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.6746258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Under47c643.83$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.8322447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c586.74$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.086,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Under55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4511159.5%66 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over35c501.59$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.381,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c479.91$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.544,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb673…d240backed Over48c462.5$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22230%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Over48c451.33$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.6418143.1%78 W · 103 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under53c442.72$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.0857650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Over48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20018147%85 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under52c365.01$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.226756.2%150 W · 117 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Under56c357.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.9256154.5%306 W · 255 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Under50c342.4$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.224050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c338.26$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.513,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over48c329.73$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.2754549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Under53c301.3$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.6131354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over48c297$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.571,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over51c277.9$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14213951.1%71 W · 68 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadc9…eb69backed Under53c268.49$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.19785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+95.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x19ed…d833backed Over48c256.63$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.18728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Under53c235.83$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8419054.7%104 W · 86 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under52c230.72$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.145452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Under52c227$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9627455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over48c225.83$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.417850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over49c224.77$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6940243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014156.7%80 W · 61 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Under53c204.62$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.1714466%95 W · 49 L+17.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over48c204$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.921,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9622746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Over47c199.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9947748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x666a…6065backed Over48c199.06$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.55520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-74.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under47c197.55$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9553149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb318…67bdbacked Over50c197.41$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.71955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.