NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 115.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9be7f224da242c9e6cd497aedb7df8672a57a6929e38be28b47cb9a4c611b2fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,637 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Over | 3c | 15,350$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03d3…449ebacked Over | 48c | 368$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a95…9353backed Under | 54c | 362$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ba…66d4backed Over | 48c | 356$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9e…245dbacked Under | 52c | 348$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f72…47a5backed Under | 52c | 347$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0a…f952backed Under | 52c | 340$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…abfebacked Under | 52c | 336$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3628…c71dbacked Over | 48c | 320$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeabb…878dbacked Under | 52c | 305$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff4…7409backed Over | 48c | 296$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7a…5771backed Over | 46c | 293$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28d5…046dbacked Under | 52c | 264$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…4e9fbacked Under | 54c | 262$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3631…0f3dbacked Over | 48c | 261$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaefc…97d1backed Over | 48c | 259$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ab…6097backed Under | 52c | 256$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b3…15fbbacked Under | 52c | 245$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd904…3d8fbacked Over | 48c | 245$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…8ea4backed Under | 54c | 242$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c01…7dfbbacked Over | 48c | 237$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe674…9f16backed Over | 48c | 235$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41c…1ddebacked Under | 52c | 232$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd36a…580ebacked Under | 52c | 230$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef73…51a4backed Under | 52c | 224$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3de…d87fbacked Over | 48c | 216$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdae…29f9backed Under | 52c | 215$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f27…5a63backed Over | 48c | 209$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…8b04backed Over | 46c | 199$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c2…7e2bbacked Over | 46c | 188$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…4219backed Over | 46c | 186$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfb…348dbacked Over | 48c | 176$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb9…13bfbacked Over | 48c | 164$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b5…ae57backed Under | 57c | 132.72$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 43c | 110.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 52c | 27.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…f6bfbacked Over | 47c | 27.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 115.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-0.5)Celtics won
- Celtics vs. CavaliersCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 199.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 201.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 204.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 206.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Dean Wade: Points O/U 5.5Yes won
- Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Dennis Schröder: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Celtics (-12.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Celtics (-13.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Celtics (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.