MLB · resolved market
First Round Pool A: Cuba vs. Canada
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e6438d5f17ccd116e1f0502d4121d6f1d78d4c172ad330dea43fbb47d118d3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadaof Cuba, Canada
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,293 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Cuba | 43c | 17,441$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,499.97 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Canada | 58c | 8,780$5,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,677.03 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Cuba | 60c | 6,540$3,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,918.71 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Canada | 57c | 5,272$3,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.44 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cuba | 41c | 4,561$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.56 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Cuba | 47c | 2,629$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Canada | 59c | 2,548$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.1 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Canada | 54c | 2,538$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.38 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Cuba | 41c | 2,330$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.3 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Canada | 59c | 2,324$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.81 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Canada | 68c | 2,020$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.47 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Canada | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Cuba | 40c | 1,600$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Canada | 58c | 1,554$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.72 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb064…0b34backed Cuba | 24c | 1,425$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +207.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Canada | 52c | 1,365$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.87 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Canada | 59c | 1,229$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.07 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5391…f44abacked Canada | 58c | 1,067$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Canada | 63c | 1,041$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.38 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Cuba | 10c | 853.49$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.59 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…29ddbacked Canada | 64c | 809.71$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Cuba | 33c | 765.21$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.91 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Cuba | 41c | 746.51$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.81 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Canada | 59c | 725$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Canada | 59c | 627.12$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.12 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe10…c5cbbacked Canada | 57c | 614.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Canada | 77c | 602.81$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.46 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6123…c151backed Cuba | 41c | 581.5$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0571…78bebacked Canada | 59c | 508.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x787c…5635backed Cuba | 43c | 507.05$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.03 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Cuba | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…5ec0backed Canada | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Cuba | 42c | 499.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Canada | 59c | 463.05$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.69 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Canada | 60c | 455.27$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.38 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Canada | 59c | 432.16$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.09 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cuba | 24c | 413.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3c…0427backed Cuba | 40c | 407$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Cuba | 42c | 381.8$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.72 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…3eefbacked Canada | 55c | 361.6$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd39…234fbacked Cuba | 45c | 361.6$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Canada | 57c | 349.68$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.68 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Canada | 67c | 324.4$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.26 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Canada | 59c | 311$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.51 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…202dbacked Cuba | 21c | 301.04$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -49%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…1f19backed Canada | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f0…923bbacked Canada | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef0…f14cbacked Canada | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 17cpaid | +258.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Cuba | 29c | 299.68$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.06 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Canada | 69c | 279.51$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.74 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Canada | 58c | 260.46$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.46 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…8a41backed Canada | 64c | 260.3$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.57 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Canada | 57c | 259.69$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.67 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Cuba | 47c | 254.95$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.51 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf26…609fbacked Cuba | 43c | 253.6$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863c…655cbacked Canada | 61c | 252.67$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.71 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Cuba | 42c | 249.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9162…162cbacked Cuba | 40c | 247.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa95c…1b63backed Cuba | 41c | 234.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Canada | 77c | 225.61$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…8322backed Cuba | 45c | 223$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…6ccdbacked Cuba | 45c | 223$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Cuba | 21c | 215$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Canada | 68c | 211.54$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cuba | 19c | 208.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed Canada | 63c | 205.58$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.31 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4729…8cfdbacked Cuba | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e36…3fd0backed Canada | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 17cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Cuba | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3129…22edbacked Cuba | 43c | 199.6$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.41 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cuba | 40c | 176.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11bf…770dbacked Canada | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Canada | 21c | 175$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.5 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +11.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Canada | 69c | 174.54$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde93…bef4backed Canada | 58c | 171.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2a…6f46backed Canada | 60c | 171.01$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32da…f236backed Cuba | 39c | 167.16$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Canada | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Cuba | 42c | 160$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.01 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…524ebacked Canada | 58c | 155.17$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked Cuba | 41c | 151.93$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.76 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab4…b569backed Cuba | 40c | 151.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcabc…46f4backed Cuba | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Cuba | 37c | 149.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…eeeebacked Canada | 70c | 143.63$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Canada | 69c | 140$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe046…5ea7backed Cuba | 22c | 118.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Cuba | 40c | 116.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Canada | 55c | 112.9$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Canada | 66c | 109.85$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…4638backed Canada | 54c | 106.64$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad0…ee96backed Canada | 59c | 106$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed Canada | 68c | 100.77$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5e…b7e4backed Cuba | 20c | 100.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cuba | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Canada | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Cuba | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c07…d764backed Cuba | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Canada | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 459 | 52.9%243 W · 216 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Canada | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.