Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e10ac45d4ad846f1f7ba38d4ac3aad40db9b6e38680d2e82dc0fe4e3b63d48a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,660 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6077…ad46backed Over | 44c | 7,521$3,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,309.23 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 53cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…f99ebacked Under | 56c | 3,855$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.98 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd462…eaecbacked Under | 56c | 1,873$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.26 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…a070backed Under | 56c | 1,873$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.19 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Over | 44c | 470$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.8 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 56c | 426.18$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.52 | 142 | 28.2%40 W · 102 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed Under | 56c | 57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 219 | 54.3%119 W · 100 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Over | 44c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 530 | 47.2%250 W · 280 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 80c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…8fb9backed Over | 51c | 37.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Over | 44c | 34.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 44c | 31.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?No won
- LoL: Partizan Sangal vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group GUnicorns Of Love Sexy Edition won
- LoL: Partizan Sangal vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 1 WinnerUnicorns Of Love Sexy Edition won
- LoL: Partizan Sangal vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 2 WinnerUnicorns Of Love Sexy Edition won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.